ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
A. Le Coq Arena
Referee: T. Uprus
Flora Tallinn
Match Timeline
Laagri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
V. Kreida · Assist: S. Alamaa
Flora Tallinn
18'
R. Sappinen · Assist: T. Varjund
Flora Tallinn
21'
R. Valdmets · Assist: S. Alamaa
Flora Tallinn
45'
S. Zenjov · Assist: A. Kollo
Flora Tallinn
🔄
46'
S. Zenjov ↔ D. Kuraksin
Flora Tallinn
🔄
46'
E. Kajari ↔ S. Kerge
Laagri
🔄
46'
A. Binate ↔ J. Ndakala
Laagri
🔄
46'
M. Kelement ↔ K. Roomussaar
Laagri
🔄
60'
V. Kreida ↔ T. Teevali
Flora Tallinn
🔄
60'
T. Varjund ↔ T. Usta
Flora Tallinn
🔄
60'
R. Valdmets ↔ I. Antonov
Flora Tallinn
🔄
60'
R. Reimaa ↔ K. Ennuste
Laagri
62'
T. Usta · Assist: S. Alamaa
Flora Tallinn
🔄
69'
S. Alamaa ↔ A. Kaares
Flora Tallinn
🟨
77'
T. Teevali
Flora Tallinn
🔄
78'
Rudenko Daniil ↔ H. Palutaja
Laagri

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
77.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
83.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Flora Tallinn Win 59%
Draw 4.2%
Laagri Win 36.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Flora Tallinn1.54
Laagri1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn
WWDLW
27 GF / 19 GA
Laagri Laagri
WLDWL
30 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
5
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 16 matches
Laagri Laagri 16 matches
Flora Tallinn Statistic Laagri
9 Wins 9
1 Draws 3
6 Losses 4
27 Goals For 30
19 Goals Against 21
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
5 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Laagri having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Laagri. Flora Tallinn come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Flora Tallinn Analysis

Flora Tallinn come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 15 points after 9 matches. With 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 16:12, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by R. Sappinen (5 goals), S. Alamaa (3 goals), I. Antonov (2 goals), with creative support from R. Sappinen (3 assists), S. Zenjov (3 assists), S. Alamaa (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Laagri Analysis

Laagri come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 16 points from 9 matches. The record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 14:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Eerme (3 goals), A. Binate (2 goals), A. Jarve (2 goals), with creative support from Rudenko Daniil (5 assists), K. Eerme (1 assists), A. Binate (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Flora Tallinn won 9 times, Laagri won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:7 from Flora Tallinn's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Flora Tallinn wins 9, draws 0, Laagri wins 1

Lineups

Flora Tallinn
Formation
Laagri
K. Kivila
K. Kivila
N. Kalmokov
N. Kalmokov
M. Kolobov
M. Kolobov
A. Kollo
🎯
A. Kollo
S. Tovstik
S. Tovstik
V. Kreida
V. Kreida
R. Valdmets
R. Valdmets
S. Zenjov
S. Zenjov
T. Varjund
🎯
T. Varjund
S. Alamaa
🎯
S. Alamaa
R. Sappinen
R. Sappinen
J. Vainula
J. Vainula
Rudenko Daniil
Rudenko Daniil
S. Liit
S. Liit
K. Laur
K. Laur
R. Reimaa
R. Reimaa
A. Jarve
A. Jarve
M. Kelement
M. Kelement
I. Kartau
I. Kartau
E. Kajari
E. Kajari
A. Binate
A. Binate
K. Kriis
K. Kriis
Flora Tallinn 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
K. Kivila
2
N. Kalmokov
23
M. Kolobov
3
A. Kollo
🎯 45'
26
S. Tovstik
32
V. Kreida
⚽ 5' ↓ 60'
18
R. Valdmets
⚽ 21' ↓ 60'
20
S. Zenjov
⚽ 45' ↓ 46'
14
T. Varjund
🎯 18' ↓ 60'
29
S. Alamaa
🎯 5' 🎯 21' 🎯 62' ↓ 69'
11
R. Sappinen
⚽ 18'
Substitutes
22
A. Tatrik
33
E. Grunvald
5
A. Vaher
6
R. Veering
7
D. Kuraksin
↑ 46'
8
T. Teevali
↑ 60' 🟨 77'
17
T. Usta
⚽ 62' ↑ 60'
21
A. Kaares
↑ 69'
24
O. Pihela
67
I. Antonov
↑ 60'
89
M. Kalimullin
Laagri 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Vainula
23
Rudenko Daniil
↓ 78'
15
S. Liit
24
K. Laur
7
R. Reimaa
↓ 60'
4
A. Jarve
17
M. Kelement
↓ 46'
5
I. Kartau
41
E. Kajari
↓ 46'
19
A. Binate
↓ 46'
16
K. Kriis
Substitutes
79
R. Meesit
6
H. Palutaja
↑ 78'
9
K. Eerme
11
A. Kose
18
I. Bah
21
S. Soo
32
S. Kerge
↑ 46'
22
M. Kesa
47
K. Ennuste
↑ 60'
53
J. Ndakala
↑ 46'
66
K. Roomussaar
↑ 46'
Last matches: Flora Tallinn
28.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
W
21.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
1
2
L
16.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
29.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
4
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
3
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
2
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
6
0
W
19.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
4
L
12.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
0
W
07.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
03.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
1
3
L
22.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
0
2
L
15.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
07.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
3
0
W
24.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Riga
0
3
L
20.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Ogre United
1
0
W
Last matches: Laagri
20.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
1
3
L
17.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
0
1
L
13.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
30.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
3
0
W
20.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
16.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
1
2
L
09.05.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
25.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Tammeka
1
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
2
2
D
18.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
04.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
2
0
W
22.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
2
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
07.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
2
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Metta / LU
1
5
L
20.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Mārupe
4
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Riga Mariners
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Valmiera / BSS
2
1
W
H2H: Flora Tallinn vs Laagri
30.04.26
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
W
22.03.26
H2H
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
2
0
L
04.10.25
H2H
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
1
2
W
16.08.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
09.05.25
H2H
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
0
3
W
22.04.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
4
1
W
22.10.23
H2H
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
2
3
W
25.08.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
2
0
W
19.05.23
H2H
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
0
1
W
03.03.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
4
0
W
Last matches: Flora Tallinn
21.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
1
2
L
13.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
22.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
6
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
0
W
07.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
15.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
07.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
3
0
W
24.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Riga
0
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Ogre United
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
BFC Daugavpils
4
0
W
17.07.25
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Valur Reykjavik
1
2
L
H2H at home: Flora Tallinn
30.04.26
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
W
16.08.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
22.04.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
4
1
W
25.08.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
2
0
W
03.03.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
4
0
W
Last matches: Laagri
17.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
0
1
L
20.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
09.05.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
18.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
04.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
2
0
W
07.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
2
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Metta / LU
1
5
L
01.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Džiugas Telšiai
1
1
D
H2H away: Laagri
30.04.26
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
L
16.08.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
L
22.04.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
4
1
L
25.08.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
2
0
L
03.03.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
4
0
L

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 4 1 46:15 31 43
L D W W W
2 17 11 0 6 35:19 16 33
W L W L W
3 18 9 4 5 30:15 15 31
D D L D L
4 18 8 5 5 27:22 5 29
D W W D D
5 16 7 2 7 18:20 -2 23
W W D L W
6 17 7 2 8 21:31 -10 23
W L D W L
7 17 6 1 10 33:40 -7 19
W L W L L
8 17 6 1 10 21:30 -9 19
L L L W L
9 17 5 2 10 17:27 -10 17
L D W D W
10 17 3 1 13 11:40 -29 10
L D L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga