Flamengo vs Fluminense Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Flamengo
Fluminense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Flamengo
41 matches
Fluminense
40 matches
| Flamengo | Statistic | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wins | 18 |
| 10 | Draws | 13 |
| 4 | Losses | 9 |
| 82 | Goals For | 63 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 28 |
| 38 | Over 1.5 | 33 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 5.73 | Shots On Goal | 5.29 |
| 15.76 | Total Shots | 14.08 |
| 5.05 | Corners | 4.92 |
| 56.6% | Ball Possession | 59% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Flamengo come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Fluminense. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Flamengo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 60 points after 28 matches. With 18 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 55:23, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Pedro (15 goals), Samuel Lino (9 goals), J. Carrascal (5 goals), with creative support from Samuel Lino (7 assists), J. Carrascal (7 assists), Pedro (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Operating from 4 place with 48 points from 28 games, Fluminense bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 44:36, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through John Kennedy (8 goals), L. Acosta (4 goals), R. Castillo (4 goals), with creative support from L. Acosta (4 assists), A. Canobbio (2 assists), K. Serna (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo won 6 times, Fluminense won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:9 from Flamengo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.47 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
Home
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Fluminense
Away
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 43 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|