Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
74.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Flamengo
Botafogo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Flamengo
34 matches
Botafogo
26 matches
| Flamengo | Statistic | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 9 |
| 9 | Draws | 7 |
| 4 | Losses | 10 |
| 69 | Goals For | 38 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 2.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.46 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 5.77 | Shots On Goal | 4.96 |
| 15.3 | Total Shots | 13.31 |
| 4.37 | Corners | 4.04 |
| 54.6% | Ball Possession | 49.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Botafogo. Flamengo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 45 points compared to Botafogo in 11 on 30, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Flamengo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 45 points after 22 matches. The return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 44:19, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Pedro Guilherme (14 goals), Samuel Lino (6 goals), Jorge Carrascal (3 goals), with creative support from Samuel Lino (7 assists), Pedro Guilherme (4 assists), Jorge Carrascal (4 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
So far, Botafogo have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 30 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 35:34 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Danilo Santos (7 goals), Arthur Cabral (7 goals), Edenilson (4 goals), with creative support from Alex Telles (3 assists), Álvaro Montoro (3 assists), Danilo Santos (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo won 10 times, Botafogo won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:14 from Flamengo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Mirassol
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Vitoria
Flamengo
Internacional
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Chapecoense-sc
Flamengo
Olimpia
Flamengo
Benfica
Flamengo
Lausanne
Flamengo
River Plate
Flamengo
Coritiba
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Gremio
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Botafogo
Vitoria
Botafogo
Fluminense
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Vitoria
Botafogo
Santos
Botafogo
Bahia
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Corinthians
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
Remo
Botafogo
Internacional
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
Coritiba
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Mirassol
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Vitoria
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Olimpia
Flamengo
Lausanne
Flamengo
River Plate
Flamengo
Coritiba
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Bahia
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
Santos
Flamengo
Remo
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Internacional
Botafogo
Vitoria
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Bahia
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
Fluminense
Botafogo
Gremio
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 44:20 | 24 | 51 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 |
Flamengo
Home
|
23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45:21 | 24 | 45 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 37 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 28:23 | 5 | 35 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 34 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 32 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 |
Botafogo
Away
|
22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 12 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 23:35 | -12 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 27 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 26 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 24 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24:38 | -14 | 22 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 24:46 | -22 | 14 |
W
D
L
D
L
|