ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
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Kaplakriki

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.5%
Odds 2.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.30
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.31
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.5%
2.53
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.30
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.31
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.01
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
FH hafnarfjordur Win 21.5%
Draw 7%
Stjarnan Win 71.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
FH hafnarfjordur1.64
Stjarnan2.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
FH hafnarfjordur FH hafnarfjordur
WWDLW
17 GF / 30 GA
Stjarnan Stjarnan
WLDWL
31 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
2.07
2.31
Average Goals Conceded
2.13
10
BTTS Yes
14
8
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FH hafnarfjordur FH hafnarfjordur 13 matches
Stjarnan Stjarnan 15 matches
FH hafnarfjordur Statistic Stjarnan
1 Wins 6
5 Draws 2
7 Losses 7
17 Goals For 31
30 Goals Against 32
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 2.07
2.31 Avg Goals Conceded 2.13
10 BTTS Yes 14
12 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 10
0 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stjarnan having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Stjarnan carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 10 points while FH hafnarfjordur sit 12 on 2, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Stjarnan. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

FH hafnarfjordur Analysis

With 2 points from 9 games and a place of 12, FH hafnarfjordur still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats with a 12:26 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Stjarnan Analysis

Stjarnan sit 9 with 10 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 18:22, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FH hafnarfjordur won 3 times, Stjarnan won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:31 from FH hafnarfjordur's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
H2H summary: FH hafnarfjordur wins 3, draws 3, Stjarnan wins 9
Last matches: FH hafnarfjordur
28.06.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
1
D
21.06.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Thor Akureyri
1
1
D
14.06.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Keflavik
2
1
W
29.05.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
IA Akranes
0
1
L
22.05.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
5
L
17.05.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
KA Akureyri
1
2
L
08.05.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Breidablik
3
3
D
03.05.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Fram Reykjavik
3
4
L
27.04.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
KR Reykjavik
2
4
L
23.04.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Valur Reykjavik
0
3
L
17.04.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
2
3
L
12.04.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
1
D
07.03.26
Fri
FH hafnarfjordur
Moss
1
1
D
Last matches: Stjarnan
28.06.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
3
1
W
21.06.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
2
L
16.06.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Breidablik
4
4
D
31.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Thor Akureyri
3
1
W
26.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Fram Reykjavik
0
1
L
17.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Keflavik
1
1
D
08.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
KR Reykjavik
2
3
L
03.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
IA Akranes
1
2
L
27.04.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
2
4
L
23.04.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
3
L
17.04.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
3
2
W
12.04.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
3
2
W
12.02.26
Fri
Stjarnan
B 93
3
2
W
08.02.26
Fri
Stjarnan
Karpaty
2
1
W
H2H: FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan
17.04.26
H2H
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
3
2
L
21.09.25
H2H
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
0
0
D
07.07.25
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
1
1
D
07.04.25
H2H
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
2
1
L
26.10.24
H2H
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
3
2
L
01.09.24
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
0
3
L
18.06.24
H2H
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
4
2
L
24.09.23
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
1
3
L
29.06.23
H2H
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
5
0
L
15.04.23
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
1
0
W
17.09.22
H2H
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
2
1
L
04.07.22
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
1
1
D
19.03.22
H2H
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
1
3
W
24.01.22
H2H
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
3
0
L
13.09.21
H2H
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
0
4
W
Last matches: FH hafnarfjordur
28.06.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
1
D
21.06.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Thor Akureyri
1
1
D
29.05.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
IA Akranes
0
1
L
17.05.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
KA Akureyri
1
2
L
03.05.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Fram Reykjavik
3
4
L
07.03.26
Fri
FH hafnarfjordur
Moss
1
1
D
H2H at home: FH hafnarfjordur
07.07.25
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
1
1
D
01.09.24
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
0
3
L
24.09.23
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
1
3
L
15.04.23
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
1
0
W
04.07.22
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
1
1
D
Last matches: Stjarnan
21.06.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
2
L
31.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Thor Akureyri
3
1
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Keflavik
1
1
D
23.04.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
3
L
12.04.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
3
2
W
12.02.26
Fri
Stjarnan
B 93
3
2
W
08.02.26
Fri
Stjarnan
Karpaty
2
1
W
H2H away: Stjarnan
07.07.25
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
1
1
D
01.09.24
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
0
3
W
24.09.23
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
1
3
W
15.04.23
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
1
0
L
04.07.22
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.53
Draw 4.25
Home 2.35
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.98
Draw 2.76
Home 2.76
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.31
Over 3.25 1.61
Over 3.5 1.78
Over 3.75 1.96
Over 4.0 2.21
Over 4.25 2.44
Over 4.5 2.66
Over 5.5 4.48
Under 2.5 3.35
Under 3.25 2.31
Under 3.5 2.04
Under 3.75 1.86
Under 4.0 1.67
Under 4.25 1.55
Under 4.5 1.47
Under 5.5 1.20
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.45
Draw 3.80
Home 2.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.62
Home 2.62
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 3.00
Home 2.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 2.5 1.30
Over 3.5 1.73
Over 4.5 2.62
Over 5.5 4.33
Over 6.5 7.50
Over 7.5 10.50
Over 8.5 17.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 7.00
Under 2.5 3.40
Under 3.5 2.00
Under 4.5 1.44
Under 5.5 1.20
Under 6.5 1.07
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.54
Draw 3.95
Home 2.31
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.92
Draw 2.56
Home 2.65
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.69
Draw 3.05
Home 2.49
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.05
Over 1.75 1.06
Over 2.0 1.07
Over 2.25 1.17
Over 2.5 1.27
Over 2.75 1.33
Over 3.0 1.40
Over 3.25 1.58
Over 3.5 1.78
Over 3.75 1.95
Over 4.0 2.14
Over 4.25 2.41
Over 4.5 2.59
Over 4.75 3.07
Over 5.0 3.75
Over 5.25 4.02
Over 5.5 4.30
Over 6.0 6.85
Over 6.5 7.50
Over 7.5 10.50
Over 8.5 17.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 19.50
Under 1.0 14.00
Under 1.5 6.70
Under 1.75 6.25
Under 2.0 5.85
Under 2.25 4.02
Under 2.5 3.14
Under 2.75 2.92
Under 3.0 2.62
Under 3.25 2.22
Under 3.5 1.98
Under 3.75 1.81
Under 4.0 1.59
Under 4.25 1.49
Under 4.5 1.39
Under 4.75 1.30
Under 5.0 1.19
Under 5.25 1.17
Under 5.5 1.15
Under 6.0 1.04
Under 6.5 1.07
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.38
Draw 3.65
Home 2.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.60
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.55
Draw 2.95
Home 2.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.06
Over 2.5 1.30
Over 3.5 1.79
Over 4.5 2.80
Over 5.5 4.50
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.5 3.00
Under 3.5 1.85
Under 4.5 1.35
Under 5.5 1.14

Standings

Besta deild 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 34:6 28 28
W W W W W
2 10 8 1 1 38:23 15 25
W W L D W
3 9 6 2 1 25:16 9 20
W W D W W
4 9 4 3 2 22:15 7 15
L W L D W
5 10 5 0 5 19:22 -3 15
L L W W L
6 9 3 3 3 12:16 -4 12
W D W L W
7 9 3 2 4 12:18 -6 11
L W D W L
8 9 3 1 5 12:15 -3 10
L L W W W
9 10 3 1 6 18:22 -4 10
W L L D L
10 9 2 0 7 7:23 -16 6
L L L L L
11 9 1 2 6 14:23 -9 5
W D L L L
12 9 0 2 7 12:26 -14 2
L L L D L
Championship round
Relegation Round