ESTONIA › MEISTRILIIGA
11.10.2026 13:30
Kuressaare Linnastaadion

Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Kuressaare Win 34.6%
Draw 16.1%
Flora Tallinn Win 49.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kuressaare1.3
Flora Tallinn1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kuressaare Kuressaare
WWDLW
42 GF / 66 GA
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn
WLDWL
75 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.79
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
19
BTTS Yes
21
21
Over 2.5
31
0
Shots on Goal
1.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kuressaare Kuressaare 34 matches
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 42 matches
Kuressaare Statistic Flora Tallinn
9 Wins 23
7 Draws 3
18 Losses 16
42 Goals For 75
66 Goals Against 58
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
19 BTTS Yes 21
25 Over 1.5 34
21 Over 2.5 31
15 Over 3.5 18
4 Clean Sheets 13
14 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 1.33
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 2.17
0% Ball Possession 16.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Flora Tallinn's more proactive style and Kuressaare's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Flora Tallinn look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Flora Tallinn. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Flora Tallinn having the stronger overall control. Flora Tallinn carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 55 points while Kuressaare sit 8 on 29, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Kuressaare Analysis

Kuressaare sit 8 with 29 points after 29 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 16 losses with goals at 31:49 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Flora Tallinn Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 55 points from 29 games, Flora Tallinn bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 18 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses, with a 59:39 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 9 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kuressaare won 1 times, Flora Tallinn won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:40 from Kuressaare's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.9%)
H2H summary: Kuressaare wins 1, draws 2, Flora Tallinn wins 12

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 22 6 1 81:21 60 72
D W W W W
2 29 18 1 10 59:39 20 55
W W D W W
3 29 15 6 8 48:36 12 51
W W L W L
4 29 15 5 9 52:27 25 50
W W L L L
5 29 14 2 13 37:47 -10 44
L L W L W
6 29 11 2 16 40:47 -7 35
D W L L W
7 29 10 4 15 39:57 -18 34
L L L W W
8 29 8 5 16 31:49 -18 29
D L L W D
9 29 9 1 19 47:68 -21 28
L L W L L
10 29 5 4 20 22:65 -43 19
D L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga