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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
14.06.2026 18:30
Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry
Ferro Carril Oeste
Match Timeline
Acassuso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
47'
M. Kabalin
Ferro Carril Oeste
🟨
62'
F. Obradovich
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
63'
A. Gonzalez ↔ J. Raccio
Acassuso
🔄
63'
K. Dubini ↔ L. Romero
Acassuso
🟨
70'
G. Canto
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
71'
A. Hermoso ↔ R. Reynoso
Acassuso
⚽
75'
R. Reynoso · Assist: J. Raccio
Acassuso
⚽
76'
L. Parisi · Assist: E. Dening
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
79'
E. Hoyos ↔ G. Castellani
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
79'
E. Dening ↔ N. Gomez
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
79'
M. Kabalin ↔ L. Marra
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
86'
F. Tevez ↔ M. Taron
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
87'
J. Ponce ↔ D. Roberts
Acassuso
🔄
87'
D. N. Bellatti S. ↔ S. Borges
Acassuso
🔄
89'
L. Parisi ↔ P. Uriel
Ferro Carril Oeste
🟨
90+2'
N. Gomez
Ferro Carril Oeste
🟨
90+5'
J. Raccio
Acassuso

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Acassuso Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.8%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.8%
- ▥
BTTS No
60.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ferro Carril Oeste Win 74.8%
Draw 8.5%
Acassuso Win 16.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ferro Carril Oeste1.04
Acassuso0.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste
WWDLW
17 GF / 12 GA
Acassuso Acassuso
WLDWL
13 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
0.72
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 16 matches
Acassuso Acassuso 18 matches
Ferro Carril Oeste Statistic Acassuso
8 Wins 6
4 Draws 3
4 Losses 9
17 Goals For 13
12 Goals Against 18
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 0.72
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 2
8 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Ferro Carril Oeste's more proactive style and Acassuso's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Acassuso. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Acassuso having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ferro Carril Oeste Analysis

Ferro Carril Oeste arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 25 points after 15 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 15:11 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Acassuso Analysis

Acassuso sit 12 with 18 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, while the 11:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ferro Carril Oeste won 1 times, Acassuso won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Ferro Carril Oeste's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
H2H summary: Ferro Carril Oeste wins 1, draws 0, Acassuso wins 0

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 8 7 37:28 9 62
D L W W D
2 33 17 7 9 51:34 17 58
L W L L W
3 32 16 8 8 42:29 13 56
W D W W W
4 33 14 11 8 47:30 17 53
L W D W L
5 33 14 11 8 39:25 14 53
D W D W L
6 33 13 9 11 31:27 4 48
W L W W W
7 33 12 12 9 28:28 0 48
W W W L D
8 33 12 11 10 26:22 4 47
D L L L D
9 32 9 13 10 25:23 2 40
L W L D D
10 33 10 10 13 32:34 -2 40
W D L W D
11 33 8 13 12 25:32 -7 37
L D L W W
12 33 9 10 14 28:37 -9 37
L W W L W
13 32 9 10 13 29:39 -10 37
D D L L L
14 33 7 15 11 29:39 -10 36
D W L L D
15 33 6 16 11 21:30 -9 34
D D D L D
16 32 6 15 11 18:28 -10 33
L D D L W
17 33 8 8 17 25:35 -10 32
W L W W L
18 33 6 14 13 26:39 -13 32
D L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation