JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Ajinomoto Stadium
Referee: A. Kamimura
FC Tokyo
Match Timeline
Tokyo Verdy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Kento Hashimoto
FC Tokyo
29'
K. Morita · Assist: Y. Matsuhashi
Tokyo Verdy
41'
S. Muroya · Assist: R. Sato
FC Tokyo
🔄
46'
I. Kumatoriya ↔ Y. Arai
Tokyo Verdy
🟨
56'
Keita Endo
FC Tokyo
VAR
68'
Marcelo Ryan
FC Tokyo
🔄
71'
Y. Matsuhashi ↔ Y. Fukuda
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
77'
Y. Nagatomo ↔ K. Hashimoto
FC Tokyo
🔄
77'
Marcelo Ryan ↔ M. Nagakura
FC Tokyo
🟨
79'
Alexander Scholz
FC Tokyo
🔄
86'
R. Sato ↔ T. Nakagawa
FC Tokyo
🔄
86'
M. Morishige ↔ H. Inamura
FC Tokyo
🔄
90+2'
K. Endo ↔ F. Yamada
FC Tokyo
🔄
90'
K. Morita ↔ K. Saito
Tokyo Verdy
90'
M. Nagakura · Assist: K. Sato
FC Tokyo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 93.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
93.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Tokyo Win 93.8%
Draw 0%
Tokyo Verdy Win 6.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Tokyo1.76
Tokyo Verdy1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
WWDLW
30 GF / 17 GA
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
WLDWL
20 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
9
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
8
5.33
Shots on Goal
3.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 16 matches
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 17 matches
FC Tokyo Statistic Tokyo Verdy
9 Wins 6
5 Draws 3
2 Losses 8
30 Goals For 20
17 Goals Against 27
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
9 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 6
5.33 Shots On Goal 3.21
15.2 Total Shots 10
5.07 Corners 4.29
52.3% Ball Possession 42.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tokyo Verdy. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Tokyo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Tokyo Verdy in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tokyo Verdy having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

FC Tokyo Analysis

FC Tokyo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 32 points after 15 matches. The return of 11 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 29:16, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Kein Sato (5 goals), Marcelo Ryan (5 goals), Ryunosuke Sato (5 goals), with creative support from Marcelo Ryan (4 assists), Kein Sato (3 assists), K. Hashimoto (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Tokyo Verdy Analysis

Tokyo Verdy approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 24 points after 14 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a 20:17 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on I. Someno (4 goals), T. Yoshida (4 goals), Y. Fukuda (2 goals), with creative support from K. Morita (3 assists), I. Someno (2 assists), H. Yamami (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, FC Tokyo won 2 times, Tokyo Verdy won 0 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from FC Tokyo's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC Tokyo 4-4-2 / Tokyo Verdy 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: FC Tokyo wins 2, draws 5, Tokyo Verdy wins 0
Stats
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
4 Corner Kicks 4
14 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 1
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 5
14 Shots insidebox 12
3 Shots outsidebox 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
505 Total passes 230
402 Passes accurate 139
1.81 expected_goals 1.38
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC Tokyo
Formation
Tokyo Verdy
Kim Seung-Gyu
Kim Seung-Gyu
S. Muroya
S. Muroya
A. Scholz
A. Scholz
M. Morishige
M. Morishige
Y. Nagatomo
Y. Nagatomo
K. Sato
🎯
K. Sato
K. Hashimoto
K. Hashimoto
K. Tokiwa
K. Tokiwa
K. Endo
K. Endo
Marcelo Ryan
Marcelo Ryan
R. Sato
🎯
R. Sato
Y. Nagasawa
Y. Nagasawa
K. Suzuki
K. Suzuki
N. Hayashi
N. Hayashi
R. Inoue
R. Inoue
Y. Uchida
Y. Uchida
R. Hirakawa
R. Hirakawa
K. Morita
K. Morita
D. Fukazawa
D. Fukazawa
Y. Matsuhashi
🎯
Y. Matsuhashi
I. Kumatoriya
I. Kumatoriya
I. Someno
I. Someno
FC Tokyo 4-4-2
Starting XI
81
Kim Seung-Gyu
G
2
S. Muroya
⚽ 41'
D
24
A. Scholz
🟨 79'
D
3
M. Morishige
↓ 86'
D
5
Y. Nagatomo
↓ 77'
D
16
K. Sato
🎯 90'
M
18
K. Hashimoto
🟨 21'
M
27
K. Tokiwa
M
22
K. Endo
↓ 90+2' 🟨 56'
M
9
Marcelo Ryan
↓ 77'
F
23
R. Sato
🎯 41' ↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
1
H. Tanaka
G
8
T. Ko
M
71
F. Yamada
↑ 90+2'
M
39
T. Nakagawa
↑ 86'
F
42
K. Hashimoto
↑ 77'
D
15
R. Omori
D
26
M. Nagakura
⚽ 90' ↑ 77'
F
28
L. Nozawa
F
17
H. Inamura
↑ 86'
D
Tokyo Verdy 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
21
Y. Nagasawa
G
15
K. Suzuki
D
4
N. Hayashi
D
5
R. Inoue
D
22
Y. Uchida
M
16
R. Hirakawa
M
10
K. Morita
⚽ 29' ↓ 90'
M
23
D. Fukazawa
M
7
Y. Matsuhashi
🎯 29' ↓ 71'
F
25
I. Kumatoriya
↓ 46'
F
9
I. Someno
F
Substitutes
1
Matheus
G
6
K. Miyahara
D
27
R. Shirai
F
8
K. Saito
↑ 90'
M
14
Y. Fukuda
↑ 71'
M
35
S. Tanabe
D
45
S. Teranuma
F
24
S. Nakayama
M
40
Y. Arai
↑ 46'
M
Last matches: FC Tokyo
06.06.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
1
3
L
30.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
2
2
D
23.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashima
0
1
L
16.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Urawa
0
0
D
06.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
0
3
L
02.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0
W
29.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
3
1
W
24.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
5
2
W
11.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
1
W
05.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
01.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
3
0
W
22.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
18.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
0
W
28.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
0
2
L
21.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
2
1
W
14.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Urawa
1
1
D
07.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashima
1
1
D
18.01.26
Fri
FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4
3
W
Last matches: Tokyo Verdy
06.06.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
2
4
L
30.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
6
L
16.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
13.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
06.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
0
1
L
03.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
2
1
W
18.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
JEF United Chiba
1
0
W
12.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Urawa
1
1
D
04.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
JEF United Chiba
2
3
L
22.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
18.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
0
2
L
14.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Urawa
1
0
W
07.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
0
2
L
28.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
3
L
21.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
15.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
2
1
W
08.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
3
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Tokyo Verdy
Roasso Kumamoto
0
2
L
H2H: FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy
10.05.26
H2H
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
2
1
W
22.03.26
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
15.09.25
H2H
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
1
0
W
02.04.25
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
2
2
D
17.08.24
H2H
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
13.04.24
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
2
2
D
12.07.23
H2H
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
Last matches: FC Tokyo
06.06.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
1
3
L
06.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
0
3
L
02.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0
W
24.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
5
2
W
05.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
07.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
0
W
28.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
0
2
L
14.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Urawa
1
1
D
07.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashima
1
1
D
18.01.26
Fri
FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4
3
W
H2H at home: FC Tokyo
10.05.26
H2H
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
2
1
W
15.09.25
H2H
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
1
0
W
17.08.24
H2H
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
12.07.23
H2H
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
Last matches: Tokyo Verdy
30.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
16.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
13.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
06.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
0
1
L
12.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Urawa
1
1
D
04.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
JEF United Chiba
2
3
L
07.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
0
2
L
28.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
3
L
15.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
2
1
W
H2H away: Tokyo Verdy
10.05.26
H2H
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
2
1
L
15.09.25
H2H
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
1
0
L
17.08.24
H2H
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
12.07.23
H2H
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)