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SWITZERLAND › SUPER LEAGUE
14.05.2026 14:30
Stockhorn Arena
Referee: A. Kanagasingam
FC Thun
Match Timeline
BSC Young Boys
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
S. Essende · Assist: S. Lauper
BSC Young Boys
⚽
11'
E. Rastoder · Assist: C. Ibayi
FC Thun
⚽
13'
E. Rastoder · Assist: J. Roth
FC Thun
🟨
17'
Christopher Ibayi
FC Thun
⚽
26'
S. Essende
BSC Young Boys
🟨
29'
Ebrima Colley
BSC Young Boys
⚽
43'
A. Sanches · Assist: E. Fernandes
BSC Young Boys
🟥
45+3'
Marco Bürki
FC Thun
VAR
45+3'
Marco Bürki
FC Thun
⚽
54'
S. Essende
BSC Young Boys
🔄
57'
K. Imeri ↔ B. Labeau
FC Thun
🔄
57'
M. Kait ↔ V. Matoshi
FC Thun
🔄
57'
C. Ibayi ↔ N. Reichmuth
FC Thun
🟨
61'
Leonardo Bertone
FC Thun
🔄
62'
E. Fernandes ↔ A. Gigovic
BSC Young Boys
🔄
62'
D. Males ↔ A. Virginius
BSC Young Boys
🔄
63'
E. Colley ↔ C. Fassnacht
BSC Young Boys
⚽
64'
A. Virginius · Assist: A. Gigovic
BSC Young Boys
⚽
68'
C. Fassnacht · Assist: A. Virginius
BSC Young Boys
🔄
70'
E. Rastoder ↔ N. Rupp
FC Thun
🔄
75'
Y. Valery ↔ J. Hadjam
BSC Young Boys
🟥
76'
Jan Bamert
FC Thun
🔄
76'
A. Sanches ↔ C. Bedia
BSC Young Boys
⚽
77'
C. Bedia
BSC Young Boys
🟨
78'
Sandro Lauper
BSC Young Boys
🔄
79'
L. Bertone ↔ D. Franke
FC Thun
⚽
79'
L. Bertone
FC Thun
⚽
81'
C. Fassnacht · Assist: A. Gigovic
BSC Young Boys
🟨
86'
Samuel Essende
BSC Young Boys
🟨
89'
Niklas Steffen
FC Thun

FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Thun Win 68.8%
Draw 0%
BSC Young Boys Win 31.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Thun1.97
BSC Young Boys1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Thun FC Thun
WWDLW
76 GF / 43 GA
BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys
WLDWL
83 GF / 81 GA
Key Stats
2.11
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
25
BTTS Yes
29
27
Over 2.5
32
5.81
Shots on Goal
5.02

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Thun FC Thun 36 matches
BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 46 matches
FC Thun Statistic BSC Young Boys
24 Wins 19
2 Draws 9
10 Losses 18
76 Goals For 83
43 Goals Against 81
2.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
25 BTTS Yes 29
30 Over 1.5 40
27 Over 2.5 32
15 Over 3.5 21
6 Clean Sheets 11
5 Failed To Score 8
5.81 Shots On Goal 5.02
17 Total Shots 13.98
5.81 Corners 4.98
46.1% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. FC Thun arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 74 points compared to BSC Young Boys in 6 on 51, which underlines the gap in season consistency. FC Thun have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward BSC Young Boys. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Thun expected to line up in 4-2-2-2 and BSC Young Boys in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward BSC Young Boys having the stronger overall control.

FC Thun Analysis

FC Thun approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 1 with 74 points from 36 matches. The overall return of 24 wins, 2 draws, and 10 defeats with a 76:43 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Rastoder (13 goals), C. Ibayi (10 goals), L. Bertone (10 goals), with creative support from Kastriot Imeri (7 assists), F. Fehr (7 assists), E. Rastoder (6 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 12 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

BSC Young Boys Analysis

From their first 36 matches, BSC Young Boys have collected 51 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 69:63 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by C. Fassnacht (16 goals), Chris Bedia (16 goals), A. Sanches (9 goals), with creative support from C. Fassnacht (7 assists), A. Virginius (7 assists), A. Sanches (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Thun won 4 times, BSC Young Boys won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:51 from FC Thun's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 4.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC Thun 4-2-2-2 / BSC Young Boys 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Thun wins 4, draws 1, BSC Young Boys wins 10

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 24 2 7 75:37 38 74
D L L L L
2 33 17 9 7 64:40 24 60
D W W L W
3 33 16 9 8 50:38 12 57
W D L W W
4 33 15 8 10 51:45 6 53
L L L W L
5 33 13 13 7 51:35 16 52
D D W W W
6 33 13 9 11 65:60 5 48
D W W L L
7 33 10 10 13 64:61 3 40
W W D W W
8 33 9 13 11 57:57 0 40
W W D W W
9 33 10 9 14 47:57 -10 39
L L L L W
10 33 10 4 19 45:63 -18 34
L L W D L
11 33 6 9 18 40:65 -25 27
W D W W L
12 33 4 7 22 35:86 -51 19
L L W D L
Championship round
Relegation Round