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GERMANY › 3. LIGA
18.04.2026 12:00
Audi Sportpark
Referee: F. Weller
FC Ingolstadt 04
Match Timeline
VfL Osnabrück
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Jonas Scholz
FC Ingolstadt 04
🟨
15'
David Kopacz
VfL Osnabrück
🟨
18'
Bjarke Jacobsen
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
61'
L. Kehl ↔ I. Badjie
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
73'
D. Kaygin ↔ E. Gul
FC Ingolstadt 04
🟨
75'
Theo Janotta
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
79'
D. Kopacz ↔ J. Kania
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
79'
T. Lesueur ↔ K. Proger
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
81'
Y. Deichmann ↔ M. Hoppe
FC Ingolstadt 04
⚽
83'
J. Kania
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
87'
M. Besuschkow ↔ M. Plath
FC Ingolstadt 04
🔄
87'
Y. Sturm ↔ O. Drakulic
FC Ingolstadt 04
🔄
90+1'
F. Wagner ↔ B. Henning
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
90+1'
R. Meissner ↔ R. Tesche
VfL Osnabrück

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs VfL Osnabrück Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 78.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
78.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
74.2%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Ingolstadt 04 Win 21.9%
Draw 0%
VfL Osnabrück Win 78.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Ingolstadt 041.28
VfL Osnabrück1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04
WWDLW
52 GF / 48 GA
VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück
WLDWL
55 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
25
BTTS Yes
12
23
Over 2.5
14
4.19
Shots on Goal
4.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04 33 matches
VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 33 matches
FC Ingolstadt 04 Statistic VfL Osnabrück
10 Wins 20
10 Draws 7
13 Losses 6
52 Goals For 55
48 Goals Against 27
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
25 BTTS Yes 12
27 Over 1.5 22
23 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 18
5 Failed To Score 7
4.19 Shots On Goal 4.48
11.89 Total Shots 11.48
3.74 Corners 4.85
42.1% Ball Possession 42.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward VfL Osnabrück. VfL Osnabrück carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 67 points while FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 14 on 40, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. VfL Osnabrück look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Ingolstadt 04 expected to line up in 3-4-3 and VfL Osnabrück in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VfL Osnabrück having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

FC Ingolstadt 04 Analysis

FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 14 with 40 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 52:48, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through M. Costly (13 goals), Dennis Kaygın (7 goals), Y. Sturm (6 goals), with creative support from M. Costly (8 assists), F. Carlsen (6 assists), M. Besuschkow (6 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

VfL Osnabrück Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 67 points from 33 games, VfL Osnabrück bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 20 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a 55:27 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on R. Meissner (13 goals), D. Kopacz (7 goals), I. Badjie (7 goals), with creative support from Lars Kehl (11 assists), R. Meissner (7 assists), Tony Lesueur (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 10 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, FC Ingolstadt 04 won 3 times, VfL Osnabrück won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from FC Ingolstadt 04's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC Ingolstadt 04 3-4-3 / VfL Osnabrück 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: FC Ingolstadt 04 wins 3, draws 0, VfL Osnabrück wins 5

Standings

3. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6 38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation