GERMANY 3. LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Audi Sportpark
Referee: F. Weller
FC Ingolstadt 04
Match Timeline
VfL Osnabrück
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Jonas Scholz
FC Ingolstadt 04
🟨
15'
David Kopacz
VfL Osnabrück
🟨
18'
Bjarke Jacobsen
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
61'
L. Kehl ↔ I. Badjie
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
73'
D. Kaygin ↔ E. Gul
FC Ingolstadt 04
🟨
75'
Theo Janotta
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
79'
D. Kopacz ↔ J. Kania
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
79'
T. Lesueur ↔ K. Proger
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
81'
Y. Deichmann ↔ M. Hoppe
FC Ingolstadt 04
83'
J. Kania
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
87'
M. Besuschkow ↔ M. Plath
FC Ingolstadt 04
🔄
87'
Y. Sturm ↔ O. Drakulic
FC Ingolstadt 04
🔄
90+1'
F. Wagner ↔ B. Henning
VfL Osnabrück
🔄
90+1'
R. Meissner ↔ R. Tesche
VfL Osnabrück

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 78.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
78.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
74.2%
-
Probability Distribution
FC Ingolstadt 04 Win 21.9%
Draw 0%
VfL Osnabrück Win 78.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Ingolstadt 041.28
VfL Osnabrück1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04
WWDLW
52 GF / 48 GA
VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück
WLDWL
55 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
25
BTTS Yes
12
23
Over 2.5
14
4.19
Shots on Goal
4.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04 33 matches
VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 33 matches
FC Ingolstadt 04 Statistic VfL Osnabrück
10 Wins 20
10 Draws 7
13 Losses 6
52 Goals For 55
48 Goals Against 27
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
25 BTTS Yes 12
27 Over 1.5 22
23 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 18
5 Failed To Score 7
4.19 Shots On Goal 4.48
11.89 Total Shots 11.48
3.74 Corners 4.85
42.1% Ball Possession 42.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward VfL Osnabrück. VfL Osnabrück carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 67 points while FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 14 on 40, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. VfL Osnabrück look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Ingolstadt 04 expected to line up in 3-4-3 and VfL Osnabrück in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VfL Osnabrück having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

FC Ingolstadt 04 Analysis

FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 14 with 40 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 52:48, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through M. Costly (13 goals), Dennis Kaygın (7 goals), Y. Sturm (6 goals), with creative support from M. Costly (8 assists), F. Carlsen (6 assists), M. Besuschkow (6 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

VfL Osnabrück Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 67 points from 33 games, VfL Osnabrück bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 20 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a 55:27 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on R. Meissner (13 goals), D. Kopacz (7 goals), I. Badjie (7 goals), with creative support from Lars Kehl (11 assists), R. Meissner (7 assists), Tony Lesueur (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 10 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, FC Ingolstadt 04 won 3 times, VfL Osnabrück won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from FC Ingolstadt 04's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC Ingolstadt 04 3-4-3 / VfL Osnabrück 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: FC Ingolstadt 04 wins 3, draws 0, VfL Osnabrück wins 5
Stats
FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04
VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
7
4 Corner Kicks 10
7 Fouls 17
6 Offsides 0
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Goal 6
4 Shots off Goal 8
2 Blocked Shots 7
3 Shots insidebox 14
5 Shots outsidebox 7
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
455 Total passes 402
390 Passes accurate 336
0.50 expected_goals 1.95
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC Ingolstadt 04
Formation
VfL Osnabrück
K. Eisele
K. Eisele
G. Antzoulas
G. Antzoulas
S. Lorenz
S. Lorenz
J. Scholz
J. Scholz
Y. Deichmann
Y. Deichmann
M. Besuschkow
M. Besuschkow
F. Carlsen
F. Carlsen
G. Christensen
G. Christensen
D. Kaygin
D. Kaygin
M. Costly
M. Costly
Y. Sturm
Y. Sturm
L. Jonsson
L. Jonsson
T. Janotta
T. Janotta
J. Muller
J. Muller
N. Wiemann
N. Wiemann
P. Kammerbauer
P. Kammerbauer
F. Wagner
F. Wagner
B. Jacobsen
B. Jacobsen
T. Lesueur
T. Lesueur
D. Kopacz
D. Kopacz
L. Kehl
L. Kehl
R. Meissner
R. Meissner
FC Ingolstadt 04 3-4-3
Starting XI
25
K. Eisele
G
6
G. Antzoulas
D
32
S. Lorenz
D
15
J. Scholz
🟨 13'
D
20
Y. Deichmann
↓ 81'
M
17
M. Besuschkow
↓ 87'
M
8
F. Carlsen
M
24
G. Christensen
M
10
D. Kaygin
↓ 73'
F
22
M. Costly
F
7
Y. Sturm
↓ 87'
Substitutes
47
D. Klein
G
2
M. Hoppe
↑ 81'
M
5
E. Gul
↑ 73'
F
14
M. Plath
↑ 87'
M
23
J. Maljojoki
D
29
J. Kugel
30
O. Drakulic
↑ 87'
34
L. Frode
M
44
E. Kehrer
F
VfL Osnabrück 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
21
L. Jonsson
G
20
T. Janotta
🟨 75'
D
24
J. Muller
D
25
N. Wiemann
D
31
P. Kammerbauer
M
26
F. Wagner
↓ 90+1'
M
15
B. Jacobsen
🟨 18'
M
23
T. Lesueur
↓ 79'
M
29
D. Kopacz
↓ 79' 🟨 15'
M
18
L. Kehl
↓ 61'
M
11
R. Meissner
↓ 90+1'
F
Substitutes
1
N. Sauter
G
6
B. Henning
↑ 90+1'
M
8
R. Tesche
↑ 90+1'
M
9
J. Kania
⚽ 83' ↑ 79'
F
10
K. Proger
↑ 79'
M
13
K. Schumacher
M
19
K. Wiethaup
M
22
B. Riesselmann
F
37
I. Badjie
↑ 61'
M
Last matches: FC Ingolstadt 04
16.05.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
5
1
W
09.05.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
TSV 1860 München
2
1
W
03.05.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Erzgebirge Aue
3
5
L
25.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Hoffenheim II
3
0
W
11.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Rot-Weiß Essen
1
4
L
08.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Viktoria Köln
1
2
L
05.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Saarbrücken
0
1
L
25.03.26
Fri
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Ulm 1846
1
2
L
21.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Alemannia Aachen
1
2
L
15.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Ulm 1846
3
1
W
08.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Verl
1
2
L
04.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
MSV Duisburg
0
0
D
28.02.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
SV Wehen
1
2
L
21.02.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Havelse
3
2
W
15.02.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Schweinfurt 05
1
1
D
07.02.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Energie Cottbus
0
0
D
31.01.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
24.01.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Stuttgart II
2
1
W
16.01.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Jahn Regensburg
3
0
W
09.01.26
Fri
FC Ingolstadt 04
Ried
4
2
W
Last matches: VfL Osnabrück
16.05.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Stuttgart II
4
3
W
09.05.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
SSV Ulm 1846
1
1
D
03.05.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
SV Wehen
3
2
W
25.04.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Verl
2
1
W
12.04.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Energie Cottbus
1
0
W
07.04.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
MSV Duisburg
0
1
L
04.04.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
FC Schweinfurt 05
4
0
W
26.03.26
Fri
VfL Osnabrück
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2
2
D
25.03.26
Fri
VfL Osnabrück
Hannover 96
0
2
L
22.03.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Hoffenheim II
1
0
W
14.03.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Waldhof Mannheim
4
1
W
07.03.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
0
W
03.03.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
FC Viktoria Köln
2
0
W
28.02.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Erzgebirge Aue
3
1
W
21.02.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Rot-Weiß Essen
3
0
W
14.02.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Hansa Rostock
2
2
D
07.02.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Havelse
2
0
W
31.01.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
FC Saarbrücken
1
0
W
25.01.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
TSV 1860 München
1
1
D
17.01.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Alemannia Aachen
3
0
W
H2H: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs VfL Osnabrück
18.04.26
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
VfL Osnabrück
0
1
L
22.11.25
H2H
VfL Osnabrück
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
0
L
19.04.25
H2H
VfL Osnabrück
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
0
L
24.11.24
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
VfL Osnabrück
4
2
W
12.02.23
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
VfL Osnabruck
1
4
L
10.08.22
H2H
VfL Osnabruck
FC Ingolstadt 04
0
1
W
30.05.21
H2H
VfL Osnabruck
FC Ingolstadt 04
3
1
L
27.05.21
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
VfL Osnabruck
3
0
W
Last matches: FC Ingolstadt 04
16.05.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
5
1
W
03.05.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Erzgebirge Aue
3
5
L
08.04.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Viktoria Köln
1
2
L
25.03.26
Fri
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Ulm 1846
1
2
L
21.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Alemannia Aachen
1
2
L
08.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Verl
1
2
L
04.03.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
MSV Duisburg
0
0
D
21.02.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Havelse
3
2
W
07.02.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Energie Cottbus
0
0
D
24.01.26
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Stuttgart II
2
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
FC Ingolstadt 04
Ried
4
2
W
13.12.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
TSV 1860 München
1
2
L
29.11.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Hoffenheim II
3
2
W
08.11.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Rot-Weiß Essen
1
2
L
25.10.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Saarbrücken
2
1
W
04.10.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Ulm 1846
4
1
W
20.09.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
SV Wehen
0
0
D
13.09.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Schweinfurt 05
2
3
L
24.08.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
Hansa Rostock
1
1
D
02.08.25
3.
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1
1
D
H2H at home: FC Ingolstadt 04
18.04.26
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
VfL Osnabrück
0
1
L
24.11.24
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
VfL Osnabrück
4
2
W
12.02.23
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
VfL Osnabruck
1
4
L
27.05.21
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
VfL Osnabruck
3
0
W
Last matches: VfL Osnabrück
16.05.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Stuttgart II
4
3
W
03.05.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
SV Wehen
3
2
W
07.04.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
MSV Duisburg
0
1
L
25.03.26
Fri
VfL Osnabrück
Hannover 96
0
2
L
22.03.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Hoffenheim II
1
0
W
07.03.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
0
W
28.02.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Erzgebirge Aue
3
1
W
14.02.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Hansa Rostock
2
2
D
31.01.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
FC Saarbrücken
1
0
W
17.01.26
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Alemannia Aachen
3
0
W
12.12.25
3.
VfL Osnabrück
SSV Ulm 1846
5
3
W
30.11.25
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Verl
1
4
L
08.11.25
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Energie Cottbus
1
0
W
25.10.25
3.
VfL Osnabrück
FC Schweinfurt 05
2
1
W
04.10.25
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Waldhof Mannheim
4
1
W
28.09.25
3.
VfL Osnabrück
FC Viktoria Köln
0
0
D
17.09.25
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Rot-Weiß Essen
1
1
D
30.08.25
3.
VfL Osnabrück
Havelse
2
0
W
09.08.25
3.
VfL Osnabrück
TSV 1860 München
1
3
L
H2H away: VfL Osnabrück
18.04.26
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
VfL Osnabrück
0
1
W
24.11.24
H2H
FC Ingolstadt 04
VfL Osnabrück
4
2
L

Standings

3. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6 38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation