FC Ingolstadt 04 vs VfL Osnabrück Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
78.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
65.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
74.2%
|
- |
FC Ingolstadt 04
VfL Osnabrück
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Ingolstadt 04
33 matches
VfL Osnabrück
33 matches
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | Statistic | VfL Osnabrück |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 20 |
| 10 | Draws | 7 |
| 13 | Losses | 6 |
| 52 | Goals For | 55 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 18 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.19 | Shots On Goal | 4.48 |
| 11.89 | Total Shots | 11.48 |
| 3.74 | Corners | 4.85 |
| 42.1% | Ball Possession | 42.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward VfL Osnabrück. VfL Osnabrück carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 67 points while FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 14 on 40, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. VfL Osnabrück look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Ingolstadt 04 expected to line up in 3-4-3 and VfL Osnabrück in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VfL Osnabrück having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 14 with 40 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 52:48, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through M. Costly (13 goals), Dennis Kaygın (7 goals), Y. Sturm (6 goals), with creative support from M. Costly (8 assists), F. Carlsen (6 assists), M. Besuschkow (6 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Operating from 1 place with 67 points from 33 games, VfL Osnabrück bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 20 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a 55:27 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on R. Meissner (13 goals), D. Kopacz (7 goals), I. Badjie (7 goals), with creative support from Lars Kehl (11 assists), R. Meissner (7 assists), Tony Lesueur (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 10 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, FC Ingolstadt 04 won 3 times, VfL Osnabrück won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from FC Ingolstadt 04's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
VfL Osnabrück
Away
|
38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 66:34 | 32 | 80 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72:51 | 21 | 72 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 78:66 | 12 | 70 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66:49 | 17 | 68 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 74:49 | 25 | 67 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 82:48 | 34 | 64 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 76:57 | 19 | 64 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 54:52 | 2 | 53 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 59:72 | -13 | 52 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51:53 | -2 | 51 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
FC Ingolstadt 04
Home
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 65:56 | 9 | 49 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 13 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 54:58 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57:69 | -12 | 46 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:57 | -6 | 44 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 65:71 | -6 | 43 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 57:89 | -32 | 35 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 51:70 | -19 | 34 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 49:78 | -29 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 38:87 | -49 | 21 |
L
L
D
D
D
|