Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
73.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
FC Ingolstadt 04
Erzgebirge Aue
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Ingolstadt 04
35 matches
Erzgebirge Aue
35 matches
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | Statistic | Erzgebirge Aue |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 5 |
| 10 | Draws | 12 |
| 14 | Losses | 18 |
| 55 | Goals For | 42 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 65 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.86 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.28 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 11.76 | Total Shots | 9.31 |
| 3.93 | Corners | 4.55 |
| 42.6% | Ball Possession | 39.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights FC Ingolstadt 04's more proactive style and Erzgebirge Aue's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Erzgebirge Aue. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Ingolstadt 04 expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Erzgebirge Aue in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Erzgebirge Aue having the stronger overall control. FC Ingolstadt 04 have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 13 with 43 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 10 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 55:49 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Costly (15 goals), Dennis Kaygın (7 goals), Y. Sturm (6 goals), with creative support from M. Costly (8 assists), F. Carlsen (7 assists), M. Besuschkow (6 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
With 27 points from 35 games and a place of 19, Erzgebirge Aue still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 12 draws, and 18 defeats with a 42:65 goal balance points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Bar (8 goals), J. Guttau (5 goals), M. Stefaniak (4 goals), with creative support from Eric Uhlmann (4 assists), Mika Clausen (4 assists), Pascal Fallmann (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Ingolstadt 04 won 6 times, Erzgebirge Aue won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:20 from FC Ingolstadt 04's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
FC Ingolstadt 04
7
7
2
4
5
0
Lineups
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Ingolstadt 04
TSV 1860 München
FC Ingolstadt 04
Hoffenheim II
FC Ingolstadt 04
VfL Osnabrück
FC Ingolstadt 04
Rot-Weiß Essen
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Viktoria Köln
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Saarbrücken
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Ingolstadt 04
Alemannia Aachen
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Ingolstadt 04
Verl
FC Ingolstadt 04
MSV Duisburg
FC Ingolstadt 04
SV Wehen
FC Ingolstadt 04
Havelse
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Schweinfurt 05
FC Ingolstadt 04
Energie Cottbus
FC Ingolstadt 04
Hansa Rostock
FC Ingolstadt 04
Stuttgart II
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Jahn Regensburg
FC Ingolstadt 04
Ried
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Schweinfurt 05
Erzgebirge Aue
MSV Duisburg
Erzgebirge Aue
SV Wehen
Erzgebirge Aue
Stuttgart II
Erzgebirge Aue
Verl
Erzgebirge Aue
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Erzgebirge Aue
Hoffenheim II
Erzgebirge Aue
Waldhof Mannheim
Erzgebirge Aue
Rot-Weiß Essen
Erzgebirge Aue
Alemannia Aachen
Erzgebirge Aue
TSV 1860 München
Erzgebirge Aue
VfL Osnabrück
Erzgebirge Aue
Energie Cottbus
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Viktoria Köln
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Saarbrücken
Erzgebirge Aue
Havelse
Erzgebirge Aue
SSV Ulm 1846
Erzgebirge Aue
Hansa Rostock
Erzgebirge Aue
Union Berlin
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Schweinfurt 05
FC Ingolstadt 04
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Ingolstadt 04
VfL Osnabrück
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Viktoria Köln
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Ingolstadt 04
Alemannia Aachen
FC Ingolstadt 04
Verl
FC Ingolstadt 04
MSV Duisburg
FC Ingolstadt 04
Havelse
FC Ingolstadt 04
Energie Cottbus
FC Ingolstadt 04
Stuttgart II
FC Ingolstadt 04
Ried
FC Ingolstadt 04
TSV 1860 München
FC Ingolstadt 04
Hoffenheim II
FC Ingolstadt 04
Rot-Weiß Essen
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Saarbrücken
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Ulm 1846
FC Ingolstadt 04
SV Wehen
FC Ingolstadt 04
FC Schweinfurt 05
FC Ingolstadt 04
Hansa Rostock
FC Ingolstadt 04
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Schweinfurt 05
Erzgebirge Aue
Stuttgart II
Erzgebirge Aue
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Erzgebirge Aue
Waldhof Mannheim
Erzgebirge Aue
Rot-Weiß Essen
Erzgebirge Aue
TSV 1860 München
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Viktoria Köln
Erzgebirge Aue
Havelse
Erzgebirge Aue
Hansa Rostock
Erzgebirge Aue
MSV Duisburg
Erzgebirge Aue
SV Wehen
Erzgebirge Aue
Verl
Erzgebirge Aue
Hoffenheim II
Erzgebirge Aue
Alemannia Aachen
Erzgebirge Aue
VfL Osnabrück
Erzgebirge Aue
Energie Cottbus
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Saarbrücken
Erzgebirge Aue
SSV Ulm 1846
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 66:34 | 32 | 80 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72:51 | 21 | 72 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 78:66 | 12 | 70 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66:49 | 17 | 68 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 74:49 | 25 | 67 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 82:48 | 34 | 64 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 76:57 | 19 | 64 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 54:52 | 2 | 53 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 59:72 | -13 | 52 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51:53 | -2 | 51 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
FC Ingolstadt 04
Home
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 65:56 | 9 | 49 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 13 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 54:58 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57:69 | -12 | 46 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:57 | -6 | 44 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 65:71 | -6 | 43 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 57:89 | -32 | 35 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 |
Erzgebirge Aue
Away
|
38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 51:70 | -19 | 34 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 49:78 | -29 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 38:87 | -49 | 21 |
L
L
D
D
D
|