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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
13.09.2026 00:30
Toyota Stadium
Referee: Tim Ford, USA
FC Dallas
Match Timeline
Portland Timbers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
45'
L. Farrington · Assist: S. Moore
FC Dallas
🟨
47'
Kaick
FC Dallas
🔄
56'
J. Ortiz ↔ A. Lassiter
Portland Timbers
🔄
63'
R. Binyamin ↔ H. Johansson
FC Dallas
🔄
63'
S. Moreno ↔ C. Cappis
FC Dallas
🔄
64'
O. Fernandez ↔ G. Guerra
Portland Timbers
🔄
77'
Ramiro ↔ P. Delgado
FC Dallas
🔄
77'
L. Farrington ↔ P. Musa
FC Dallas
🔄
83'
I. Smith ↔ K. Miller
Portland Timbers
⚽
87'
J. Valiente · Assist: P. Musa
FC Dallas
🔄
88'
B. Kamungo ↔ L. Abubakar
FC Dallas
⚽
90'
A. Lassiter · Assist: G. Guerra
Portland Timbers

FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52%
Odds 1.82
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52%
1.82 ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
1.40 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.44 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
72.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Dallas Win 52%
Draw 16.3%
Portland Timbers Win 31.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Dallas1.92
Portland Timbers1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Dallas FC Dallas
WWDLW
55 GF / 43 GA
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WLDWL
54 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.96
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
17
BTTS Yes
22
20
Over 2.5
21
4.71
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Dallas FC Dallas 28 matches
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 29 matches
FC Dallas Statistic Portland Timbers
13 Wins 10
8 Draws 7
7 Losses 12
55 Goals For 54
43 Goals Against 54
1.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
17 BTTS Yes 22
22 Over 1.5 27
20 Over 2.5 21
14 Over 3.5 15
7 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 6
4.71 Shots On Goal 4.5
12.08 Total Shots 13
4.25 Corners 4.75
42% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features FC Dallas's more proactive style and Portland Timbers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Portland Timbers. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Dallas expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Portland Timbers in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Portland Timbers having the stronger overall control.

FC Dallas Analysis

Placed 5 with 34 points from 22 outings, FC Dallas continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, while the 41:37 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Musa (11 goals), S. Moreno (3 goals), L. Farrington (3 goals), with creative support from J. Valiente (4 assists), P. Musa (3 assists), S. Moreno (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Portland Timbers Analysis

Portland Timbers sit 11 with 28 points after 22 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 39:39 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Kevin Kelsy (9 goals), Kristoffer Velde (3 goals), Cole Bassett (3 goals), with creative support from David Pereira Da Costa (6 assists), Kristoffer Velde (5 assists), Brandon Bye (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Dallas won 5 times, Portland Timbers won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:17 from FC Dallas's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.7%)
Predicted formations: FC Dallas 3-4-1-2 / Portland Timbers 4-3-3
Missing players: FC Dallas 5, Portland Timbers 6
H2H summary: FC Dallas wins 5, draws 6, Portland Timbers wins 4

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 15 5 7 60:29 31 50
L D W L W
2 27 13 8 6 48:36 12 47
W W W D W
3 27 13 8 6 50:42 8 47
W D W W W
4 27 13 6 8 49:39 10 45
W D W W D
5 27 13 5 9 34:32 2 44
L D L W D
6 28 11 8 9 43:30 13 41
L D L W D
7 27 10 8 9 35:35 0 38
W W W D D
8 27 11 3 13 38:38 0 36
L D W D L
9 28 9 9 10 37:44 -7 36
W W D L W
10 27 9 5 13 48:51 -3 32
L L L D W
11 27 9 5 13 40:44 -4 32
W L L L L
12 27 8 8 11 47:47 0 32
D D L L L
13 27 7 10 10 35:47 -12 31
D D W D D
14 27 7 8 12 40:49 -9 29
L L L L L
15 27 6 3 18 32:65 -33 21
L W L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)