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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
23.04.2026 00:30
Toyota Stadium
Referee: A. Chapman
FC Dallas
Match Timeline
Minnesota United FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Anthony Markanich
Minnesota United FC
⚽
31'
A. Markanich
Minnesota United FC
🟨
41'
Santiago Moreno
FC Dallas
🟨
49'
Morris Duggan
Minnesota United FC
🟨
56'
Nolan Norris
FC Dallas
🔄
61'
C. Cappis ↔ Ramiro
FC Dallas
🔄
62'
S. Ibeagha ↔ S. Sarver
FC Dallas
🔄
62'
S. Moreno ↔ L. Farrington
FC Dallas
🔄
70'
P. Musa ↔ P. Delgado
FC Dallas
🔄
70'
A. Markanich ↔ D. Padelford
Minnesota United FC
🔄
70'
K. Yeboah ↔ M. Gonzalez
Minnesota United FC
🟨
73'
Nicolás Romero
Minnesota United FC
🔄
82'
H. Johansson ↔ N. Simmonds
FC Dallas
🔄
82'
T. Chancalay ↔ M. Dieng
Minnesota United FC
🔄
89'
J. Pereyra ↔ W. Trapp
Minnesota United FC

FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 80.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
80.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Dallas Win 42.5%
Draw 22.1%
Minnesota United FC Win 35.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Dallas1.79
Minnesota United FC1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Dallas FC Dallas
WWDLW
25 GF / 14 GA
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
WLDWL
14 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
2.08
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
6
BTTS Yes
5
8
Over 2.5
7
5
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Dallas FC Dallas 12 matches
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 11 matches
FC Dallas Statistic Minnesota United FC
5 Wins 5
5 Draws 3
2 Losses 3
25 Goals For 14
14 Goals Against 15
2.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
6 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 3
5 Shots On Goal 4.5
13 Total Shots 13.13
4.38 Corners 4.25
44.8% Ball Possession 41.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and FC Dallas's more proactive style and Minnesota United FC's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. FC Dallas appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Minnesota United FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Dallas expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Minnesota United FC in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Minnesota United FC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Minnesota United FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

FC Dallas Analysis

From their first 8 matches, FC Dallas have collected 13 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 15:10 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Musa (9 goals), L. Farrington (4 goals), L. Deedson (1 goals), with creative support from J. Valiente (2 assists), P. Musa (1 assists), L. Farrington (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Geovane Jesus, A. A. Julio Santos, B. Kamungo unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

Minnesota United FC sit 6 with 14 points after 8 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 8:13 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Yeboah (5 goals), Anthony Markanich (1 goals), Kyle Duncan (1 goals), with creative support from T. Chancalay (3 assists), J. Pereyra (3 assists), D. Padelford (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with M. Boxall, P. Stroud, J. Gressel unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FC Dallas won 2 times, Minnesota United FC won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:16 from FC Dallas's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.9%)
Predicted formations: FC Dallas 3-4-2-1 / Minnesota United FC 3-4-3
Missing players: FC Dallas 5, Minnesota United FC 4
H2H summary: FC Dallas wins 2, draws 6, Minnesota United FC wins 6

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 6 7 61:30 31 51
D L D W L
2 28 14 8 6 54:38 16 50
W W W W D
3 28 13 8 7 52:45 7 47
L W D W W
4 28 13 7 8 50:40 10 46
D W D W W
5 28 13 6 9 36:34 2 45
D L D L W
6 29 11 9 9 44:31 13 42
D L D L W
7 28 11 8 9 38:35 3 41
W W W W D
8 28 11 4 13 39:39 0 37
D L D W D
9 29 9 9 11 39:50 -11 36
L W W D L
10 28 9 6 13 51:54 -3 33
D L L L D
11 28 9 5 14 41:46 -5 32
L W L L L
12 28 8 8 12 48:51 -3 32
L D D L L
13 28 7 10 11 36:51 -15 31
L D D W D
14 28 7 9 12 42:51 -9 30
D L L L L
15 28 6 4 18 35:68 -33 22
D L W L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)