Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
77.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
78.5%
|
- |
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Cincinnati
15 matches
Chicago Fire
13 matches
| FC Cincinnati | Statistic | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 3 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 3 |
| 32 | Goals For | 18 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 2.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.91 | Shots On Goal | 4.14 |
| 13.91 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 5.18 | Corners | 4.29 |
| 51.5% | Ball Possession | 50.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Chicago Fire's more proactive style and FC Cincinnati's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Chicago Fire carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 13 points while FC Cincinnati sit 10 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FC Cincinnati have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Cincinnati expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Chicago Fire in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chicago Fire having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Chicago Fire.
FC Cincinnati approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 7 points from 7 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 10:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Denkey (2 goals), Ayoub Jabbari (1 goals), E. Echenique (1 goals), with creative support from E. Echenique (2 assists), K. Denkey (1 assists), Ayoub Jabbari (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without S. Chirila, K. Fletcher, M. Robinson, K. Denkey, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.
Operating from 2 place with 13 points from 7 games, Chicago Fire bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 9:5, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through H. Cuypers (4 goals), J. Bamba (2 goals), M. Haile-Selassie (1 goals), with creative support from J. Bamba (2 assists), A. Gutman (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Franco, C. Mueller, S. Rogers unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Cincinnati won 7 times, Chicago Fire won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:24 from FC Cincinnati's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
FC Cincinnati
9
6
10
4
4
8
Lineups
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
CF Montreal
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
Universidad O&M
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United FC
FC Cincinnati
Universidad O&M
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
Detroit City
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
Chicago Fire
Austin
Chicago Fire
Los Angeles Galaxy
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
CF Montreal
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
Universidad O&M
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United FC
FC Cincinnati
Detroit City
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
Chicago Fire
Austin
Chicago Fire
Los Angeles Galaxy
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 20 | 33 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
Chicago Fire
Away
|
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | -7 | 22 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
FC Cincinnati
Home
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 19 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 16 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:31 | -9 | 14 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | -21 | 14 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 7 |
L
D
L
L
D
|