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ROMANIA › LIGA I
10.10.2026 17:00
Stadionul Municipal

FC Botosani vs Uta Arad Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Botosani Win 60.2%
Draw 14%
Uta Arad Win 25.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Botosani1.35
Uta Arad1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Botosani FC Botosani
WWDLW
24 GF / 22 GA
Uta Arad Uta Arad
WLDWL
26 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
9
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
9
3.6
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Botosani FC Botosani 16 matches
Uta Arad Uta Arad 15 matches
FC Botosani Statistic Uta Arad
5 Wins 7
6 Draws 4
5 Losses 4
24 Goals For 26
22 Goals Against 17
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
9 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 4
3.6 Shots On Goal 4.4
13.1 Total Shots 16.5
4.7 Corners 5.3
53.3% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with FC Botosani's more proactive style and Uta Arad's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Uta Arad. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Botosani expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Uta Arad in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Uta Arad having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

FC Botosani Analysis

So far, FC Botosani have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 11 points from 10 matches. The record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 14:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Dumiter (5 goals), S. Mailat (3 goals), Z. Mitrov (1 goals), with creative support from Z. Mitrov (3 assists), H. Ongenda (2 assists), S. Mailat (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Uta Arad Analysis

Uta Arad are currently 10 in the standings with 12 points from 10 matches. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 14:15 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Coman (4 goals), A. Dorobanțu (2 goals), H. Abdallah (2 goals), with creative support from A. Roman (5 assists), J. Papeau (2 assists), Dmytro Pospelov (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Botosani won 5 times, Uta Arad won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:20 from FC Botosani's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86%)
Predicted formations: FC Botosani 4-3-3 / Uta Arad 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Botosani wins 5, draws 3, Uta Arad wins 7

Standings

Liga I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 23:7 16 23
W W W D W
2 10 6 3 1 14:6 8 21
W W W D W
3 10 6 2 2 24:9 15 20
W W W D W
4 10 6 1 3 13:12 1 19
W D W W L
5 9 5 0 4 14:13 1 15
W W L L L
6 10 3 5 2 14:14 0 14
L W D D D
7 10 3 4 3 11:9 2 13
W L L D D
8 9 4 1 4 15:14 1 13
W L D W W
9 10 3 4 3 7:10 -3 13
L W L W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:15 -1 12
W L W W D
11 10 3 3 4 13:17 -4 12
L D L L L
12 10 2 5 3 14:12 2 11
L D W D W
13 10 3 2 5 6:10 -4 11
L D L L L
14 10 2 4 4 11:15 -4 10
L L L D W
15 10 2 2 6 9:22 -13 8
L L W D L
16 10 0 1 9 6:23 -17 1
L L L L L
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