Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
94.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
69.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FBC Melgar
15 matches
UTC Cajamarca
14 matches
| FBC Melgar | Statistic | UTC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Draws | 5 |
| 6 | Losses | 4 |
| 24 | Goals For | 20 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 12.33 | Total Shots | 12.92 |
| 4.58 | Corners | 4.25 |
| 51.1% | Ball Possession | 50.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with FBC Melgar's more proactive style and UTC Cajamarca's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward UTC Cajamarca. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
FBC Melgar sit 7 with 17 points after 12 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 18:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Vidales (5 goals), B. Cuesta (3 goals), M. Zegarra (3 goals), with creative support from N. Quagliata (4 assists), M. Zegarra (3 assists), B. Cuesta (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
UTC Cajamarca are currently 8 in the standings with 16 points from 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 18:18 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Marlon de Jesús (4 goals), D. Camacho (3 goals), A. Arroyo (2 goals), with creative support from M. Lliuya (2 assists), A. Munoz (2 assists), M. Rasmussen (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FBC Melgar won 7 times, UTC Cajamarca won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:13 from FBC Melgar's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
FBC Melgar
7
2
6
4
7
0
Lineups
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
Sport Huancayo
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
Universitario
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
Cusco
FBC Melgar
ADT
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
Macara
FBC Melgar
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Sport Huancayo
FBC Melgar
Universitario
FBC Melgar
Cusco
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
Macara
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 5 |
FBC Melgar
Home
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
?
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
?
|
|
| 13 |
UTC Cajamarca
Away
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
?
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
?
|