FBC Melgar
Match Timeline
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar vs Alianza Atletico Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
59.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
FBC Melgar Win 60.3%
Draw 8.4%
Alianza Atletico Win 31.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FBC Melgar1.43
Alianza Atletico1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
FBC Melgar
WWDLW
32 GF / 23 GA
Alianza Atletico
WLDWL
19 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
13
BTTS Yes
8
11
Over 2.5
7
4.38
Shots on Goal
4.94
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FBC Melgar
19 matches
Alianza Atletico
17 matches
| FBC Melgar | Statistic | Alianza Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 6 |
| 32 | Goals For | 19 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.38 | Shots On Goal | 4.94 |
| 13.38 | Total Shots | 13.44 |
| 4.88 | Corners | 3.38 |
| 52.6% | Ball Possession | 46.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FBC Melgar won 7 times, Alianza Atletico won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:17 from FBC Melgar's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
Predicted formations: FBC Melgar 4-2-3-1 / Alianza Atletico 4-3-3
H2H summary: FBC Melgar wins 7, draws 4, Alianza Atletico wins 4
Standings
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 56 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45:33 | 12 | 50 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 39:25 | 14 | 48 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
FBC Melgar
Home
|
28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47:31 | 16 | 47 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
| 5 | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 40:38 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 48:40 | 8 | 44 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 36:45 | -9 | 43 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 |
Alianza Atletico
Away
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:35 | 5 | 40 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 9 | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 38 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 38 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 43:53 | -10 | 35 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 26:31 | -5 | 33 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 31 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 41:52 | -11 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 26 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 24:43 | -19 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2