FBC Melgar vs ADT Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
83.8%
|
1.35 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
1.66 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.91 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
FBC Melgar
ADT
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FBC Melgar
29 matches
ADT
25 matches
| FBC Melgar | Statistic | ADT |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 5 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 13 |
| 47 | Goals For | 28 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.75 | Shots On Goal | 4.67 |
| 14.79 | Total Shots | 12.88 |
| 4.88 | Corners | 4.58 |
| 55% | Ball Possession | 54.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by FBC Melgar's more proactive style and ADT's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. ADT arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FBC Melgar arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 39 points compared to ADT in 17 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward ADT. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
FBC Melgar arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 39 points after 23 matches. The record of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 40:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Jhonny Vidales (8 goals), Bernardo Cuesta (5 goals), Nicolás Quagliata (4 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Quagliata (7 assists), Bernardo Cuesta (3 assists), Matías Zegarra (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
With 22 points from 23 games and a place of 17, ADT still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 26:33, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jonathan Bauman (4 goals), Jordan Guivin (3 goals), Joao Rojas (2 goals), with creative support from Carlos Cabello (3 assists), Joao Rojas (2 assists), John Narváez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, FBC Melgar won 4 times, ADT won 0 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:6 from FBC Melgar's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.78 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
FBC Melgar
Home
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 |
ADT
Away
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
L
D
L
L
L
|