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ROMANIA › LIGA I
11.10.2026 18:00
Stadionul Viitorul

Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.5%
Odds 1.87
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.5%
1.87 ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.78 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78%
1.25 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Farul Constanta Win 60.5%
Draw 4.3%
Petrolul Ploiesti Win 35.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Farul Constanta1.3
Petrolul Ploiesti1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Farul Constanta Farul Constanta
WWDLW
23 GF / 27 GA
Petrolul Ploiesti Petrolul Ploiesti
WLDWL
32 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
11
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
11
5.9
Shots on Goal
4.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Farul Constanta Farul Constanta 19 matches
Petrolul Ploiesti Petrolul Ploiesti 21 matches
Farul Constanta Statistic Petrolul Ploiesti
5 Wins 10
7 Draws 4
7 Losses 7
23 Goals For 32
27 Goals Against 30
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
11 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 17
10 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 6
5.9 Shots On Goal 4.3
14.5 Total Shots 12.9
4.2 Corners 3.6
50.6% Ball Possession 42.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Petrolul Ploiesti's more proactive style and Farul Constanta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Petrolul Ploiesti. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Farul Constanta expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Petrolul Ploiesti in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Petrolul Ploiesti having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Farul Constanta Analysis

So far, Farul Constanta have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 14 points from 10 matches. The record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 14:14 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Rădăslăvescu (5 goals), M. Ahlinvi (3 goals), Iustin Doicaru (2 goals), with creative support from E. Rădăslăvescu (2 assists), D. Alibec (2 assists), M. Ahlinvi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Petrolul Ploiesti Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 19 points from 10 games, Petrolul Ploiesti bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:12, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Malula (3 goals), A. Bran (2 goals), D. Nlundulu (2 goals), with creative support from A. Bran (3 assists), Léo Teixeira (2 assists), Rodrigo Martins (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Farul Constanta won 9 times, Petrolul Ploiesti won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:14 from Farul Constanta's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Farul Constanta 3-4-3 / Petrolul Ploiesti 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Farul Constanta wins 9, draws 2, Petrolul Ploiesti wins 4

Standings

Liga I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 23:7 16 23
W W W D W
2 10 6 3 1 14:6 8 21
W W W D W
3 10 6 2 2 24:9 15 20
W W W D W
4 10 6 1 3 13:12 1 19
W D W W L
5 10 6 0 4 17:14 3 18
W W W L L
6 10 3 5 2 14:14 0 14
L W D D D
7 10 3 4 3 11:9 2 13
W L L D D
8 10 4 1 5 16:17 -1 13
L W L D W
9 10 3 4 3 7:10 -3 13
L W L W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:15 -1 12
W L W W D
11 10 3 3 4 13:17 -4 12
L D L L L
12 10 2 5 3 14:12 2 11
L D W D W
13 10 3 2 5 6:10 -4 11
L D L L L
14 10 2 4 4 11:15 -4 10
L L L D W
15 10 2 2 6 9:22 -13 8
L L W D L
16 10 0 1 9 6:23 -17 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Superliga (Relegation Group)