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RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
29.08.2026 12:00
Fakel Stadium
Referee: Anton Frolov, Russia
Fakel
Match Timeline
Zenit
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Butta Magomedov
Fakel
🔄
48'
I. Alshin ↔ A. Kovalev
Fakel
🔄
65'
Jhon Jhon ↔ V. Karavaev
Zenit
🔄
65'
Felipe Augusto ↔ A. Sobolev
Zenit
🔄
66'
A. Gnapi Dable ↔ M. Turishchev
Fakel
🔄
66'
R. Vega ↔ K. Andrade
Zenit
🔄
67'
A. Sutormin ↔ V. Yakimov
Fakel
🔄
78'
W. Barrios ↔ A. Erokhin
Zenit
VAR
82'
Igor Diveev
Zenit
🟥
85'
Igor Diveev
Zenit
🔄
86'
B. Magomedov ↔ I. Yurganov
Fakel
🔄
86'
D. Todorovic ↔ A. Bagamaev
Fakel
🟨
87'
Nikolay Giorgobiani
Fakel
🔄
90+4'
Luiz Henrique ↔ Nino
Zenit
⚽
90'
A. Sobolev
Zenit

Fakel vs Zenit Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.52
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.03
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.3%
1.52 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.03 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fakel Win 37.9%
Draw 3.9%
Zenit Win 58.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fakel1.14
Zenit1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fakel Fakel
WWDLW
22 GF / 19 GA
Zenit Zenit
WLDWL
45 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
2.37
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
10
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
12
2.2
Shots on Goal
5.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fakel Fakel 16 matches
Zenit Zenit 19 matches
Fakel Statistic Zenit
4 Wins 13
7 Draws 3
5 Losses 3
22 Goals For 45
19 Goals Against 15
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 2.37
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
10 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 17
7 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 2
2.2 Shots On Goal 5.2
11 Total Shots 13.8
6.2 Corners 4.6
51.2% Ball Possession 57.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Fakel won 0 times, Zenit won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:18 from Fakel's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Fakel 3-4-3 / Zenit 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Fakel 2, Zenit 1
H2H summary: Fakel wins 0, draws 2, Zenit wins 8

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 14:7 7 21
D D D W W
2 9 6 1 2 14:8 6 19
W W W W W
3 9 5 4 0 15:9 6 19
W D W D W
4 9 6 1 2 16:7 9 19
W W L D W
5
Zenit Away
9 6 0 3 19:9 10 18
W W L W L
6 9 2 6 1 12:11 1 12
D D D W D
7 9 4 0 5 15:16 -1 12
L L W L L
8 9 3 2 4 14:12 2 11
L D L W D
9 9 2 5 2 13:14 -1 11
D W D D W
10 9 2 4 3 13:13 0 10
L W D D W
11 9 1 6 2 7:10 -3 9
D L D D D
12 9 2 2 5 10:17 -7 8
L L W L L
13 9 1 5 3 11:18 -7 8
W D D D L
14 9 1 4 4 8:11 -3 7
D L W L L
15 9 1 2 6 10:22 -12 5
D L L L L
16
Fakel Home
9 0 3 6 6:13 -7 3
L D L L D
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL