Fakel
Match Timeline
FC Orenburg
Fakel vs FC Orenburg Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Fakel Win 55.8%
Draw 5.7%
FC Orenburg Win 38.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fakel1.28
FC Orenburg1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fakel
WWDLW
22 GF / 19 GA
FC Orenburg
WLDWL
22 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1
10
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
7
2.25
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fakel
15 matches
FC Orenburg
14 matches
| Fakel | Statistic | FC Orenburg |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 8 |
| 6 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 4 |
| 22 | Goals For | 22 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 2.25 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 15.25 |
| 6.25 | Corners | 3.75 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 40.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Fakel won 5 times, FC Orenburg won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:19 from Fakel's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Fakel 5-4-1 / FC Orenburg 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Fakel 2, FC Orenburg 0
H2H summary: Fakel wins 5, draws 2, FC Orenburg wins 7
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 21 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 6 | 19 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 19 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:9 | 10 | 18 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 11 |
FC Orenburg
Away
|
9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Fakel
Home
|
9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL