Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
63.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fagiano Okayama
18 matches
Cerezo Osaka
18 matches
| Fagiano Okayama | Statistic | Cerezo Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 6 |
| 22 | Goals For | 24 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.24 | Shots On Goal | 4.24 |
| 11.35 | Total Shots | 11.12 |
| 4.94 | Corners | 4.94 |
| 40.5% | Ball Possession | 50.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Cerezo Osaka's more proactive style and Fagiano Okayama's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Cerezo Osaka. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fagiano Okayama expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Cerezo Osaka in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cerezo Osaka having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Operating from 5 place with 26 points from 17 games, Fagiano Okayama bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 9 defeats, together with goals at 24:26, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Esaka (3 goals), Takaya Kimura (3 goals), Werik Popo (3 goals), with creative support from A. Esaka (3 assists), K. Shirai (3 assists), Werik Popo (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 3 place with 28 points from 17 games, Cerezo Osaka bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 10 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 27:19, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by S. Sakuragawa (6 goals), Thiago Andrade (6 goals), Shunta Tanaka (4 goals), with creative support from M. Shibayama (5 assists), Motohiko Nakajima (3 assists), Nelson Ishiwatari (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Fagiano Okayama won 1 times, Cerezo Osaka won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:15 from Fagiano Okayama's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.78 goals per game.
Fagiano Okayama
8
6
6
6
4
2
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
Kashima
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
TIAMO Hirakata
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
?
|
|
| 2 |
Cerezo Osaka
Away
|
18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
?
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 |
Fagiano Okayama
Home
|
18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
?
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
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