NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

15.08.2026 18:00

Excelsior

1 - 2

PSV Eindhoven

Stadion Woudestein

Referee: Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands

Excelsior

Match Timeline

PSV Eindhoven

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

No Draw

Probability 95.6%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 78.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 87%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	No Draw	95.6%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	78.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	87%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Excelsior Win 44.5%

Draw 4.4%

PSV Eindhoven Win 51.1%

Expected Goals (xG)

Excelsior2.93

PSV Eindhoven2.17

Recent Form (Last 5)

Excelsior

WWDLW

22 GF / 7 GA

PSV Eindhoven

WLDWL

17 GF / 11 GA

Key Stats

3.67

Average Goals Scored

2.83

1.17

Average Goals Conceded

1.83

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Excelsior 6 matches

PSV Eindhoven 6 matches

Excelsior	Statistic	PSV Eindhoven
6	Wins	3
0	Draws	2
0	Losses	1
22	Goals For	17
7	Goals Against	11
3.67	Avg Goals Scored	2.83
1.17	Avg Goals Conceded	1.83
4	BTTS Yes	5
6	Over 1.5	6
5	Over 2.5	5
5	Over 3.5	4
2	Clean Sheets	1
0	Failed To Score	0
9	Shots On Goal	6
18	Total Shots	21
8	Corners	9
53%	Ball Possession	76%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Excelsior won 0 times, PSV Eindhoven won 15 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:49 from Excelsior's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)

Predicted formations: Excelsior 4-3-3 / PSV Eindhoven 4-3-3

Missing players: Excelsior 1, PSV Eindhoven 2

H2H summary: Excelsior wins 0, draws 0, PSV Eindhoven wins 15

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	27:7	20	20	W W W W D
2	PSV Eindhoven Away	8	6	1	1	26:10	16	19	W L W W W
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	18:8	10	19	L W D W W
4	Twente	8	5	2	1	16:8	8	17	D W W W D
5	Ajax	8	4	3	1	22:10	12	15	D D W W L
6	Fortuna Sittard	8	4	2	2	14:15	-1	14	D W L W W
7	Excelsior Home	7	3	2	2	15:9	6	11	D L D W W
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15:13	2	11	W D D L L
9	GO Ahead Eagles	8	2	5	1	19:17	2	11	D D D D L
10	Heerenveen	8	2	3	3	11:11	0	9	L W D L D
11	NEC Nijmegen	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9	D D L D L
12	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	13:20	-7	6	D L L D L
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5:12	-7	5	L D L D L
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10:19	-9	5	D W D L L
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11:24	-13	5	L W D L D
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6:20	-14	4	L L D L W
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7:17	-10	2	D L L D L
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6:20	-14	2	L L D L D