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16.08.2026 00:00
Estadio Sausalito
Referee: P. Maza
Everton de Vina
Match Timeline
A. Italiano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
P. Guajardo
A. Italiano
🟨
15'
F. Troyansky
A. Italiano
⚽
15'
F. Troyansky
A. Italiano
🟨
19'
H. Magallanes
Everton de Vina
🟨
25'
R. Rebolledo
A. Italiano
🟨
34'
H. Magallanes
Everton de Vina
🟥
34'
H. Magallanes
Everton de Vina
🟨
37'
F. Mateos
A. Italiano
🔄
46'
O. Opazo Lara ↔ V. Vidal
Everton de Vina
🔄
46'
J. Ovalle ↔ E. M. Ramos Aviles
Everton de Vina
🔄
46'
P. Guajardo ↔ A. Uribe
A. Italiano
🔄
46'
F. Troyansky ↔ D. Coelho
A. Italiano
⚽
54'
E. M. Ramos Aviles · Assist: J. Alfaro
Everton de Vina
🔄
64'
M. Sandoval ↔ M. Collao
A. Italiano
🔄
64'
G. Chiaverano ↔ M. Fuentes
A. Italiano
🔄
73'
N. Baeza ↔ G. Charrupi
Everton de Vina
🔄
76'
F. Mateos ↔ D. Pizarro
A. Italiano
🔄
80'
N. Montiel ↔ B. Martinez
Everton de Vina
🟨
87'
F. Salomoni
A. Italiano
🟨
90+2'
M. Collao
A. Italiano
🟨
90+5'
M. Fuentes
A. Italiano
🔄
90'
J. Alfaro ↔ V. Fernandez
Everton de Vina

Everton de Vina vs A. Italiano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Everton de Vina Win 44.2%
Draw 5%
A. Italiano Win 50.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Everton de Vina1.42
A. Italiano1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Everton de Vina Everton de Vina
WWDLW
37 GF / 33 GA
A. Italiano A. Italiano
WLDWL
31 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
13
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
15
4.89
Shots on Goal
3.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 25 matches
A. Italiano A. Italiano 24 matches
Everton de Vina Statistic A. Italiano
9 Wins 9
7 Draws 5
9 Losses 10
37 Goals For 31
33 Goals Against 32
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
13 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 15
9 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 7
4.89 Shots On Goal 3.28
12.78 Total Shots 11
5.39 Corners 3.83
46.3% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Everton de Vina's more proactive style and A. Italiano's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Everton de Vina arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 26 points compared to A. Italiano in 13 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Everton de Vina expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and A. Italiano in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward A. Italiano having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring A. Italiano. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Everton de Vina Analysis

Everton de Vina come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 26 points from 18 matches. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 27:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Alan Medina (5 goals), Julián Alfaro (3 goals), Nicolás Montiel (3 goals), with creative support from Lucas Soto (2 assists), Braian Martínez (2 assists), Julián Alfaro (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

A. Italiano Analysis

From their first 17 matches, A. Italiano have collected 19 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 20:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Giovani Chiaverano (2 goals), Michael Vadulli (2 goals), Diego Coelho (2 goals), with creative support from Esteban Matus (2 assists), Giovani Chiaverano (1 assists), Federico Mateos (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Everton de Vina won 7 times, A. Italiano won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:12 from Everton de Vina's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Everton de Vina 4-2-3-1 / A. Italiano 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Everton de Vina wins 7, draws 3, A. Italiano wins 4

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 48:22 26 54
D D W W D
2 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
3 23 12 6 5 35:19 16 42
W W L L W
4 23 10 6 7 37:25 12 36
W L W W D
5 23 11 3 9 36:33 3 36
L W L W W
6 23 10 3 10 43:35 8 33
L W W L W
7 23 8 8 7 28:31 -3 32
L L L L W
8 23 9 4 10 25:26 -1 31
D L W D W
9 23 7 9 7 34:38 -4 30
L W W D W
10 22 8 5 9 31:31 0 29
L L L W L
11 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
12 22 8 4 10 31:39 -8 28
W W D L L
13 23 8 3 12 28:36 -8 27
L W L L D
14 23 7 3 13 34:44 -10 24
W L W D L
15 23 6 4 13 17:39 -22 22
L L L W L
16 23 4 5 14 19:40 -21 17
W L L D L