Estoril vs Casa Pia Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
69.6%
|
1.71 | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
1.78 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.8%
|
1.33 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.62 | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
13.00 |
Estoril
Casa Pia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Estoril
10 matches
Casa Pia
9 matches
| Estoril | Statistic | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 4 | Draws | 1 |
| 5 | Losses | 7 |
| 6 | Goals For | 5 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 0.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.56 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.56 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.17 | Shots On Goal | 2.67 |
| 12.5 | Total Shots | 10.17 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 4.17 |
| 44.8% | Ball Possession | 44.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Casa Pia.
With 2 points from 5 games and a place of 17, Estoril still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 2:7 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Y. Begraoui (2 goals), with creative support from Fernando Medrano (1 assists), Pedro Carvalho (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 1 points from 6 games and a place of 18, Casa Pia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 1:15 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Henrique Araújo (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Estoril won 6 times, Casa Pia won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:9 from Estoril's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 15 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 9 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 |
Casa Pia
Away
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | -13 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
| 18 |
Estoril
Home
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
L
L
D
L
L
|