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GERMANY › 3. LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Erzgebirge Aue
FT
2 - 2
SV Wehen
Erzgebirgsstadion
Referee: D. Lutz
Erzgebirge Aue
Match Timeline
SV Wehen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
23'
M. Flotho · Assist: S. Mockenhaupt
SV Wehen
⚽
26'
T. Zobel
Erzgebirge Aue
🔄
46'
S. Mockenhaupt ↔ B. Nink
SV Wehen
🟨
56'
Tim Neubert
SV Wehen
🔄
61'
M. Bar ↔ J. Gunther-Schmidt
Erzgebirge Aue
🔄
61'
A. Barylla ↔ M. Seiffert
Erzgebirge Aue
🔄
65'
T. Neubert ↔ J. Lewald
SV Wehen
🔄
65'
R. Kalem ↔ L. Schleimer
SV Wehen
🟨
66'
Niklas May
SV Wehen
🟨
69'
Niklas May
SV Wehen
🟥
69'
Niklas May
SV Wehen
🔄
73'
F. Kaya ↔ F. Greilinger
SV Wehen
🔄
76'
E. Majetschak ↔ E. Uhlmann
Erzgebirge Aue
⚽
78'
T. Gozusirin
SV Wehen
🔄
82'
M. Schmid ↔ A. F. Ocansey V.
Erzgebirge Aue
🔄
82'
D. Bogicevic ↔ N. Agrafiotis
SV Wehen
⚽
84'
M. Seiffert · Assist: J. Collins
Erzgebirge Aue

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
83.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Erzgebirge Aue Win 28.7%
Draw 0%
SV Wehen Win 71.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Erzgebirge Aue1.24
SV Wehen1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue
WWDLW
40 GF / 63 GA
SV Wehen SV Wehen
WLDWL
47 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
22
BTTS Yes
18
22
Over 2.5
18
2.96
Shots on Goal
4.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 34 matches
SV Wehen SV Wehen 34 matches
Erzgebirge Aue Statistic SV Wehen
5 Wins 14
11 Draws 7
18 Losses 13
40 Goals For 47
63 Goals Against 45
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
22 BTTS Yes 18
27 Over 1.5 24
22 Over 2.5 18
14 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 9
2.96 Shots On Goal 4.04
9.14 Total Shots 10.39
4.61 Corners 4.18
39.4% Ball Possession 38.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by SV Wehen's more proactive style and Erzgebirge Aue's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. SV Wehen carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 49 points while Erzgebirge Aue sit 19 on 26, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Erzgebirge Aue expected to line up in 4-4-2 and SV Wehen in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SV Wehen having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward SV Wehen. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Erzgebirge Aue Analysis

Erzgebirge Aue approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 26 points from 34 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 11 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 38:61 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Bar (8 goals), J. Guttau (5 goals), M. Stefaniak (4 goals), with creative support from Eric Uhlmann (4 assists), Mika Clausen (4 assists), Pascal Fallmann (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

SV Wehen Analysis

With 49 points from 34 games and a place of 9, SV Wehen still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 44:42, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through F. Kaya (11 goals), M. Flotho (11 goals), N. Agrafiotis (7 goals), with creative support from M. Flotho (8 assists), N. May (5 assists), F. Kaya (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Erzgebirge Aue won 4 times, SV Wehen won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:19 from Erzgebirge Aue's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Erzgebirge Aue 4-4-2 / SV Wehen 3-4-3
H2H summary: Erzgebirge Aue wins 4, draws 2, SV Wehen wins 5
Stats
Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue
SV Wehen SV Wehen
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
6
3 Corner Kicks 14
7 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 1
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 6
6 Shots insidebox 8
8 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Goalkeeper Saves 1
393 Total passes 363
316 Passes accurate 299
1.42 expected_goals 1.60
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Erzgebirge Aue
Formation
SV Wehen
L. Lord
L. Lord
A. Barylla
↓
A. Barylla
R. Malone
R. Malone
T. Zobel
⚽
T. Zobel
J. Collins
🎯
J. Collins
E. Majetschak
↓
E. Majetschak
J. Fabisch
J. Fabisch
M. Schmid
↓
M. Schmid
M. Bar
↓
M. Bar
E. Weinhauer
E. Weinhauer
R. Bornschein
R. Bornschein
F. Stritzel
F. Stritzel
T. Neubert
↓
T. Neubert
J. Gillekens
J. Gillekens
J. Janitzek
J. Janitzek
S. Mockenhaupt
🎯 ↓
S. Mockenhaupt
D. Bogicevic
↓
D. Bogicevic
T. Gozusirin
⚽
T. Gozusirin
N. May
N. May
F. Kaya
↓
F. Kaya
R. Kalem
↓
R. Kalem
M. Flotho
⚽
M. Flotho
Erzgebirge Aue 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
L. Lord
G
23
A. Barylla
↓ 61'
D
16
R. Malone
D
25
T. Zobel
⚽ 26'
D
29
J. Collins
🎯 84'
D
13
E. Majetschak
↓ 76'
M
20
J. Fabisch
M
39
M. Schmid
↓ 82'
15
M. Bar
↓ 61'
M
7
E. Weinhauer
M
9
R. Bornschein
F
Substitutes
1
M. Mannel
G
10
J. Gunther-Schmidt
↑ 61'
M
11
E. Uhlmann
↑ 76'
M
19
J. Guttau
M
30
M. Seiffert
⚽ 84' ↑ 61'
D
45
A. F. Ocansey V.
↑ 82'
SV Wehen 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
16
F. Stritzel
G
24
T. Neubert
↓ 65' 🟨 56'
D
27
J. Gillekens
D
15
J. Janitzek
D
4
S. Mockenhaupt
🎯 23' ↓ 46'
M
8
D. Bogicevic
↓ 82'
M
11
T. Gozusirin
⚽ 78'
M
5
N. May
🟨 66' 🟨 69' 🟥 69'
M
29
F. Kaya
↓ 73'
M
10
R. Kalem
↓ 65'
M
28
M. Flotho
⚽ 23'
F
Substitutes
31
N. Brdar
G
9
S. F. Stehle
F
17
B. Nink
↑ 46'
M
18
F. Greilinger
↑ 73'
M
22
M. Nejad
M
25
N. Agrafiotis
↑ 82'
F
26
J. Lewald
↑ 65'
D
37
L. Schleimer
↑ 65'
M
47
D. Suarez
M
Last matches: Erzgebirge Aue
16.05.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Schweinfurt 05
4
2
W
08.05.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
MSV Duisburg
0
0
D
03.05.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Ingolstadt 04
5
3
W
19.04.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Stuttgart II
2
2
D
12.04.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Verl
1
1
D
07.04.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0
1
L
04.04.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Hoffenheim II
3
5
L
21.03.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Waldhof Mannheim
1
2
L
14.03.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Rot-Weiß Essen
2
4
L
07.03.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Alemannia Aachen
1
3
L
03.03.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
TSV 1860 München
1
2
L
28.02.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
VfL Osnabrück
1
3
L
22.02.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Energie Cottbus
1
2
L
13.02.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Viktoria Köln
2
2
D
07.02.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Saarbrücken
0
0
D
30.01.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Havelse
1
3
L
24.01.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
SSV Ulm 1846
0
3
L
17.01.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Hansa Rostock
1
2
L
05.01.26
Fri
Erzgebirge Aue
Union Berlin
1
2
L
20.12.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Schweinfurt 05
4
0
W
Last matches: SV Wehen
16.05.26
3.
SV Wehen
Hoffenheim II
2
0
W
09.05.26
3.
SV Wehen
Energie Cottbus
1
2
L
03.05.26
3.
SV Wehen
VfL Osnabrück
2
3
L
19.04.26
3.
SV Wehen
Waldhof Mannheim
3
3
D
11.04.26
3.
SV Wehen
FC Viktoria Köln
1
2
L
08.04.26
3.
SV Wehen
Havelse
1
4
L
05.04.26
3.
SV Wehen
Alemannia Aachen
0
3
L
26.03.26
Fri
SV Wehen
Karlsruher SC
1
0
W
20.03.26
3.
SV Wehen
Hansa Rostock
0
1
L
14.03.26
3.
SV Wehen
TSV 1860 München
0
0
D
07.03.26
3.
SV Wehen
Stuttgart II
2
1
W
04.03.26
3.
SV Wehen
FC Saarbrücken
0
2
L
28.02.26
3.
SV Wehen
FC Ingolstadt 04
2
1
W
21.02.26
3.
SV Wehen
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1
2
L
14.02.26
3.
SV Wehen
MSV Duisburg
6
1
W
07.02.26
3.
SV Wehen
FC Schweinfurt 05
2
0
W
01.02.26
3.
SV Wehen
Rot-Weiß Essen
1
1
D
25.01.26
3.
SV Wehen
Verl
2
1
W
17.01.26
3.
SV Wehen
SSV Ulm 1846
1
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
SV Wehen
SV Darmstadt 98
1
2
L
H2H: Erzgebirge Aue vs SV Wehen
25.04.26
H2H
Erzgebirge Aue
SV Wehen
2
2
D
28.11.25
H2H
SV Wehen
Erzgebirge Aue
3
1
L
01.03.25
H2H
SV Wehen
Erzgebirge Aue
0
2
W
24.09.24
H2H
Erzgebirge Aue
SV Wehen
2
1
W
17.02.23
H2H
SV Wehen
Erzgebirge AUE
1
2
W
14.08.22
H2H
Erzgebirge AUE
SV Wehen
1
5
W
28.01.20
H2H
SV Wehen
Erzgebirge AUE
1
0
L
04.08.19
H2H
Erzgebirge AUE
SV Wehen
3
2
L
13.08.17
H2H
SV Wehen
Erzgebirge Aue
2
0
L
15.04.16
H2H
SV Wehen
Erzgebirge AUE
1
0
L
30.10.15
H2H
Erzgebirge AUE
SV Wehen
1
1
D
Last matches: Erzgebirge Aue
08.05.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
MSV Duisburg
0
0
D
12.04.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Verl
1
1
D
04.04.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Hoffenheim II
3
5
L
07.03.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Alemannia Aachen
1
3
L
28.02.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
VfL Osnabrück
1
3
L
22.02.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Energie Cottbus
1
2
L
07.02.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Saarbrücken
0
0
D
24.01.26
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
SSV Ulm 1846
0
3
L
05.01.26
Fri
Erzgebirge Aue
Union Berlin
1
2
L
20.12.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Schweinfurt 05
4
0
W
07.12.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Ingolstadt 04
2
2
D
23.11.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Stuttgart II
0
0
D
01.11.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
SSV Jahn Regensburg
4
3
W
17.10.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Waldhof Mannheim
0
2
L
05.10.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Rot-Weiß Essen
2
2
D
27.09.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
TSV 1860 München
2
0
W
13.09.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Viktoria Köln
0
3
L
24.08.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Havelse
2
1
W
03.08.25
3.
Erzgebirge Aue
Hansa Rostock
0
0
D
H2H at home: Erzgebirge Aue
25.04.26
H2H
Erzgebirge Aue
SV Wehen
2
2
D
24.09.24
H2H
Erzgebirge Aue
SV Wehen
2
1
W
Last matches: SV Wehen
09.05.26
3.
SV Wehen
Energie Cottbus
1
2
L
11.04.26
3.
SV Wehen
FC Viktoria Köln
1
2
L
05.04.26
3.
SV Wehen
Alemannia Aachen
0
3
L
26.03.26
Fri
SV Wehen
Karlsruher SC
1
0
W
14.03.26
3.
SV Wehen
TSV 1860 München
0
0
D
04.03.26
3.
SV Wehen
FC Saarbrücken
0
2
L
21.02.26
3.
SV Wehen
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1
2
L
01.02.26
3.
SV Wehen
Rot-Weiß Essen
1
1
D
17.01.26
3.
SV Wehen
SSV Ulm 1846
1
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
SV Wehen
SV Darmstadt 98
1
2
L
06.01.26
Fri
SV Wehen
SV Darmstadt 98
1
0
W
21.12.25
3.
SV Wehen
Hoffenheim II
1
3
L
06.12.25
3.
SV Wehen
VfL Osnabrück
1
0
W
22.11.25
3.
SV Wehen
Waldhof Mannheim
0
1
L
01.11.25
3.
SV Wehen
Havelse
2
0
W
18.10.25
3.
SV Wehen
Hansa Rostock
0
3
L
30.09.25
3.
SV Wehen
Stuttgart II
0
0
D
20.09.25
3.
SV Wehen
FC Ingolstadt 04
0
0
D
13.09.25
3.
SV Wehen
MSV Duisburg
1
3
L
31.08.25
3.
SV Wehen
FC Schweinfurt 05
1
0
W
H2H away: SV Wehen
25.04.26
H2H
Erzgebirge Aue
SV Wehen
2
2
D
24.09.24
H2H
Erzgebirge Aue
SV Wehen
2
1
L
14.08.22
H2H
Erzgebirge AUE
SV Wehen
1
5
W
04.08.19
H2H
Erzgebirge AUE
SV Wehen
3
2
L
30.10.15
H2H
Erzgebirge AUE
SV Wehen
1
1
D

Standings

3. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
VfL Osnabrück
38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2
Energie Cottbus
38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3
Rot-Weiß Essen
38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4
MSV Duisburg
38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5
Hansa Rostock
38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6
Verl
38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7
Alemannia Aachen
38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8
TSV 1860 München
38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9
SV Wehen Away
38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10
Waldhof Mannheim
38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11
FC Viktoria Köln
38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12
FC Ingolstadt 04
38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13
SSV Jahn Regensburg
38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14
Stuttgart II
38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15
FC Saarbrücken
38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16
Hoffenheim II
38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17
Havelse
38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18
Erzgebirge Aue Home
38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19
SSV Ulm 1846
38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20
FC Schweinfurt 05
38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation