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22.05.2026 14:00
Khaled Bichara Stadium
Referee: M. El Shenawy
El Gouna FC
Match Timeline
El Geish
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Mohamed Emad
El Gouna FC
🟨
25'
Ahmed Alaa Eldin
El Geish
⚽
38'
Y. Mostafa · Assist: A. Zola
El Geish
🔄
46'
A. Khaled ↔ T. Ojo
El Gouna FC
🔄
46'
M. Emad ↔ A. Gamal
El Gouna FC
🔄
60'
Khaled Ramadan ↔ G. Al Madadha
El Geish
🔄
60'
M. Hany ↔ R. Omran
El Geish
🔄
68'
H. Souissi ↔ A. Tarek
El Geish
🔄
69'
↔ A. Refaat
El Gouna FC
🔄
75'
M. Mahmoud ↔ A. Karim
El Gouna FC
VAR
82'
Ahmed Refaat
El Gouna FC
🟨
83'
Khaled Stouhi
El Geish
⚽
84'
M. Mohsen
El Gouna FC
🔄
86'
Y. Mostafa ↔ Z. El Aidy
El Geish
🔄
86'
F. Hatem ↔ H. Khaled
El Geish
🟨
90+7'
Mostafa Metawea
El Gouna FC
🟨
90+6'
Ahmed Belya
El Gouna FC
🟨
90+6'
Ghaith Al Madadha
El Geish
🔄
90+8'
A. Belia ↔ H. Wael
El Gouna FC
⚽
90'
A. Karim · Assist: T. Ojo
El Gouna FC

El Gouna FC vs El Geish Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
61.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
87.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
El Gouna FC Win 70.5%
Draw 11.2%
El Geish Win 18.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
El Gouna FC0.81
El Geish0.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
El Gouna FC El Gouna FC
WWDLW
22 GF / 22 GA
El Geish El Geish
WLDWL
20 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
0.65
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
12
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
8
2.9
Shots on Goal
3.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

El Gouna FC El Gouna FC 31 matches
El Geish El Geish 31 matches
El Gouna FC Statistic El Geish
8 Wins 9
16 Draws 10
7 Losses 12
22 Goals For 20
22 Goals Against 30
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 0.65
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
12 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 13
4 Over 2.5 8
1 Over 3.5 4
13 Clean Sheets 13
12 Failed To Score 16
2.9 Shots On Goal 3.1
9.45 Total Shots 11.29
3.35 Corners 4.84
44.8% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with El Gouna FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and El Geish in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward El Geish having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring El Geish. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

El Gouna FC Analysis

So far, El Gouna FC have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 40 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 6:7 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Marwan Mohsen (4 goals), M. Emad (3 goals), M. El Nahas (2 goals), with creative support from Marwan Mohsen (2 assists), M. El Nahas (2 assists), A. Gamal (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

El Geish Analysis

So far, El Geish have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 37 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 6:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Ouro-Agoro (5 goals), Amro Tarek (3 goals), I. Mohareb (3 goals), with creative support from I. Ouro-Agoro (4 assists), I. Mohareb (1 assists), G. Al Madadha (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, El Gouna FC won 6 times, El Geish won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:19 from El Gouna FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
Predicted formations: El Gouna FC 4-3-3 / El Geish 4-4-2
H2H summary: El Gouna FC wins 6, draws 5, El Geish wins 4

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9 20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)