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RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
12.09.2026 15:30
RZD Arena
Referee: Pavel Kukuyan, Russia
Dynamo
Match Timeline
FC Orenburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
49'
Yaroslav Gladyshev
Dynamo
🟨
49'
Evgeniy Bolotov
FC Orenburg
⚽
50'
Maksim Osipenko
Dynamo
🔄
58'
Andrey Kasadzhikov ↔ Egor Nazarenko
FC Orenburg
🔄
58'
Renat Golybin ↔ Damian Puebla
FC Orenburg
🟨
62'
Ruslan Kul
FC Orenburg
🔄
66'
Dmitriy Rybchinskiy ↔ Danila Vedernikov
FC Orenburg
🔄
68'
Arthur Gomes ↔ Viktor Okishor
Dynamo
🔄
68'
Yaroslav Gladyshev ↔ Daniil Fomin
Dynamo
🔄
80'
Gedeon Guzina ↔ Alexandre Jesus
FC Orenburg
🔄
84'
Rubens ↔ Dmitriy Skopintsev
Dynamo
🔄
84'
Luis Chavez ↔ Maximiliano Gutierrez
Dynamo
⚽
90'
Viktor Okishor · Assist: Bitello
Dynamo
🟥
90+2'
Ruslan Kul
FC Orenburg
🔄
90+3'
Bitello ↔ Timofey Marinkin
Dynamo
🟨
90+4'
Jhon Alex Palacios
FC Orenburg
🟨
90+4'
Maxime Sivis
FC Orenburg
🟥
90+4'
Maxime Sivis
FC Orenburg
🟨
90+7'
Damian Puebla
FC Orenburg
🟨
90+8'
Viktor Okishor
Dynamo

Dynamo vs FC Orenburg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.1%
Odds 1.51
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.66
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.1%
1.51 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.66 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.8%
1.32 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.09 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Dynamo Win 71.1%
Draw 3.8%
FC Orenburg Win 25.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dynamo1.57
FC Orenburg1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dynamo Dynamo
WWDLW
37 GF / 22 GA
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
WLDWL
25 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.95
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
1
12
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
8
5.86
Shots on Goal
3.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dynamo Dynamo 19 matches
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 17 matches
Dynamo Statistic FC Orenburg
10 Wins 8
4 Draws 5
5 Losses 4
37 Goals For 25
22 Goals Against 17
1.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1
12 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 12
12 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 4
5.86 Shots On Goal 3.29
15.71 Total Shots 12.71
4.57 Corners 3.29
59.6% Ball Possession 38.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Dynamo's more proactive style and FC Orenburg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Orenburg. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dynamo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and FC Orenburg in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Orenburg having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Dynamo Analysis

Dynamo sit 6 with 10 points after 6 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 8:7 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Konstantin Tyukavin (2 goals), Arthur Gomes (1 goals), Anton Miranchuk (1 goals), with creative support from Bitello (1 assists), Maksim Osipenko (1 assists), Ivan Sergeev (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

FC Orenburg Analysis

So far, FC Orenburg have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 7 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 5:7 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on Ruslan Kul (2 goals), Andrey Kasadzhikov (2 goals), Emil Tsenov (1 goals), with creative support from Ruslan Kul (1 assists), Andrey Kasadzhikov (1 assists), Maxime Sivis (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dynamo won 10 times, FC Orenburg won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 39:22 from Dynamo's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: Dynamo 4-3-3 / FC Orenburg 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Dynamo 2, FC Orenburg 3
H2H summary: Dynamo wins 10, draws 4, FC Orenburg wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 14:7 7 21
D D D W W
2 9 6 1 2 14:8 6 19
W W W W W
3 9 5 4 0 15:9 6 19
W D W D W
4 9 6 1 2 16:7 9 19
W W L D W
5 9 6 0 3 19:9 10 18
W W L W L
6 9 2 6 1 12:11 1 12
D D D W D
7 9 4 0 5 15:16 -1 12
L L W L L
8 9 3 2 4 14:12 2 11
L D L W D
9 9 2 5 2 13:14 -1 11
D W D D W
10 9 2 4 3 13:13 0 10
L W D D W
11 9 1 6 2 7:10 -3 9
D L D D D
12 9 2 2 5 10:17 -7 8
L L W L L
13 9 1 5 3 11:18 -7 8
W D D D L
14 9 1 4 4 8:11 -3 7
D L W L L
15 9 1 2 6 10:22 -12 5
D L L L L
16 9 0 3 6 6:13 -7 3
L D L L D
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL