Dundalk vs Bohemians Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
75.5%
|
1.83 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.50 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.52 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.15 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.00 |
Dundalk
Bohemians
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Dundalk
34 matches
Bohemians
44 matches
| Dundalk | Statistic | Bohemians |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 21 |
| 11 | Draws | 12 |
| 12 | Losses | 11 |
| 55 | Goals For | 76 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.73 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 28 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 26 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.97 | Shots On Goal | 4.8 |
| 15.53 | Total Shots | 14.43 |
| 5.63 | Corners | 5.51 |
| 50.8% | Ball Possession | 53.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Bohemians's more proactive style and Dundalk's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bohemians. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Bohemians look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Dundalk sit 5 with 41 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 11 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 49:53 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Horgan (8 goals), Tyreke Wilson (4 goals), G. Arubi (4 goals), with creative support from D. Horgan (4 assists), Eoin Kenny (3 assists), Tyreke Wilson (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Bohemians approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 56 points after 31 outings. They have recorded 16 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with a 55:37 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on C. Whelan (6 goals), D. James-Taylor (5 goals), R. Tierney (5 goals), with creative support from D. Devoy (4 assists), H. Vaughan (4 assists), C. Whelan (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dundalk won 6 times, Bohemians won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:20 from Dundalk's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 52:32 | 20 | 62 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52:25 | 27 | 59 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
Bohemians
Away
|
32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 57:38 | 19 | 59 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 47:46 | 1 | 43 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45:42 | 3 | 41 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 |
Dundalk
Home
|
33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 50:55 | -5 | 41 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
| 7 | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 38 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44:54 | -10 | 34 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 39:54 | -15 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25:59 | -34 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|