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NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
25.09.2026 19:00
GN Bouw Stadion
Referee: Rick Sturm
Dordrecht
Match Timeline
Almere City FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
Olivier de Nijs
Almere City FC
⚽
22'
Beni Christophe Mpanzu
Dordrecht
🔄
45'
Milan de Haan ↔ Job Kalisvaart
Almere City FC
🔄
45'
Byron Burgering ↔ Emanuel Poku
Almere City FC
🔄
45'
Olivier de Nijs ↔ Jamie Jacobs
Almere City FC
⚽
58'
Stan Henderikx · Assist: Lucas Ayrton Román
Dordrecht
🔄
59'
Dario Sits ↔ Lucas Gardenier
Dordrecht
🔄
60'
Lucas Ayrton Román ↔ A. Ouarghi
Dordrecht
🟨
65'
Beni Christophe Mpanzu
Dordrecht
🔄
71'
Martin Vetkal ↔ J. de Bie
Dordrecht
🟨
77'
Stan Henderikx
Dordrecht
🔄
80'
Teun Bijleveld ↔ Immanuel Ghogli
Almere City FC
🔄
80'
Enzo Cornelisse ↔ L. Lenssen
Almere City FC
🔄
85'
Lorenzo Riccio ↔ Yannis M'Bemba
Dordrecht
🔄
85'
nicolas rossi ↔ Adil Lechkar
Dordrecht
⚽
90'
Joey Jacobs · Assist: Emanuel Poku
Almere City FC
⚽
90+1'
A. Ouarghi · Assist: Yannis M'Bemba
Dordrecht

Dordrecht vs Almere City FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75.1%
Odds 2.04
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.37
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75.1%
2.04 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.36 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.37 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Dordrecht Win 20.4%
Draw 4.5%
Almere City FC Win 75.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dordrecht1.54
Almere City FC2.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dordrecht Dordrecht
WWDLW
23 GF / 34 GA
Almere City FC Almere City FC
WLDWL
30 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
2.31
2.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
7
BTTS Yes
8
11
Over 2.5
10
5.29
Shots on Goal
6.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dordrecht Dordrecht 14 matches
Almere City FC Almere City FC 13 matches
Dordrecht Statistic Almere City FC
4 Wins 8
2 Draws 1
8 Losses 4
23 Goals For 30
34 Goals Against 18
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 2.31
2.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
7 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 11
11 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 2
5.29 Shots On Goal 6.29
15.14 Total Shots 15
5.14 Corners 4.71
55.6% Ball Possession 40.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Almere City FC's more proactive style and Dordrecht's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Almere City FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 13 points while Dordrecht sit 18 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Almere City FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Almere City FC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Dordrecht Analysis

Dordrecht approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 4 points from 6 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 9:18, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through M. Vetkal (3 goals), A. Ouarghi (2 goals), N. Rossi (2 goals), with creative support from A. Ouarghi (2 assists), N. Rossi (2 assists), Dario Sits (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Almere City FC Analysis

Almere City FC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 13 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 15:4 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on F. Druijf (6 goals), E. Poku (3 goals), M. Dors (2 goals), with creative support from F. Druijf (3 assists), E. Poku (2 assists), M. Dors (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dordrecht won 1 times, Almere City FC won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:30 from Dordrecht's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Dordrecht 4-2-3-1 / Almere City FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dordrecht wins 1, draws 4, Almere City FC wins 10

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 28:12 16 22
D W L W W
2 9 6 1 2 19:7 12 19
W L W W L
3 9 6 0 3 23:14 9 18
W L W W L
4 9 5 1 3 19:18 1 16
D W L L W
5 9 5 1 3 13:19 -6 16
L W L L D
6 9 4 3 2 9:7 2 15
L W D W D
7 9 3 5 1 19:12 7 14
D L W W W
8 9 4 2 3 15:13 2 14
D L W L W
9 9 4 2 3 19:19 0 14
D W W L L
10 9 4 1 4 22:17 5 13
W D L W W
11 9 4 0 5 20:17 3 12
L W L W L
12 9 3 3 3 14:16 -2 12
L D L W D
13 9 3 2 4 15:19 -4 11
D L W W D
14 9 2 3 4 15:16 -1 9
D L L W W
15 9 3 0 6 12:14 -2 9
W L W L L
16 9 2 2 5 13:18 -5 8
D L W L L
17 9 2 2 5 13:22 -9 8
D L L W D
18 9 2 2 5 13:24 -11 8
D W L L L
19 9 2 2 5 11:22 -11 8
D W L W L
20 9 2 1 6 15:21 -6 7
L W W D L
Promotion - Eredivisie
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)