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CROATIA › HNL
09.05.2026 14:00
Stadion Maksimir
Referee: P. Pavlesic
Dinamo Zagreb
Match Timeline
HNK Hajduk Split
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Monsef Bakrar
Dinamo Zagreb
⚽
22'
M. Bakrar · Assist: J. Misic
Dinamo Zagreb
🟨
32'
Bruno Goda
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
46'
R. Brajkovic ↔ L. Hodak
HNK Hajduk Split
🟨
58'
Niko Sigur
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
58'
M. Bakrar ↔ M. Lisica
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
58'
A. Hoxha ↔ G. Vidovic
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
59'
M. Zajc ↔ I. Bennacer
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
62'
A. Sanyang ↔ A. Rebic
HNK Hajduk Split
⚽
65'
D. Beljo · Assist: M. Lisica
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
74'
L. Stojkovic ↔ M. Soldo
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
76'
I. Almena ↔ M. Sego
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
76'
D. Melnjak ↔ S. Hrgovic
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
85'
N. Sigur ↔ A. Guram
HNK Hajduk Split
🟨
87'
Ante Rebić
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
90+2'
J. Misic ↔ F. Topic
Dinamo Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
26%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Zagreb Win 63.7%
Draw 0%
HNK Hajduk Split Win 36.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Zagreb1.83
HNK Hajduk Split1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
WWDLW
103 GF / 49 GA
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
WLDWL
60 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
2.4
Average Goals Scored
1.62
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
25
BTTS Yes
18
32
Over 2.5
18
5.74
Shots on Goal
4.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 43 matches
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 37 matches
Dinamo Zagreb Statistic HNK Hajduk Split
28 Wins 21
6 Draws 8
9 Losses 8
103 Goals For 60
49 Goals Against 36
2.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
25 BTTS Yes 18
41 Over 1.5 30
32 Over 2.5 18
21 Over 3.5 10
14 Clean Sheets 14
5 Failed To Score 7
5.74 Shots On Goal 4.89
15.4 Total Shots 13.08
6.21 Corners 4.7
55.8% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors HNK Hajduk Split. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dinamo Zagreb expected to line up in 4-3-3 and HNK Hajduk Split in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HNK Hajduk Split having the stronger overall control. Dinamo Zagreb come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Dinamo Zagreb Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 79 points after 33 outings. They have recorded 25 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a 87:27 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on D. Beljo (29 goals), M. Bakrar (9 goals), M. Zajc (8 goals), with creative support from L. Stojkovic (12 assists), M. Zajc (6 assists), M. Lisica (6 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 13 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

HNK Hajduk Split Analysis

HNK Hajduk Split come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 64 points from 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 19 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 54:30 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Sego (11 goals), Marko Livaja (9 goals), Rokas Pukštas (9 goals), with creative support from Marko Livaja (6 assists), A. Rebic (5 assists), M. Sego (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Zagreb won 7 times, HNK Hajduk Split won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:10 from Dinamo Zagreb's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3 / HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dinamo Zagreb wins 7, draws 4, HNK Hajduk Split wins 4

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
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Relegation