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GEORGIA › EROVNULI LIGA
10.09.2026 15:00
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Referee: I. Shengelia
Dinamo Tbilisi
Match Timeline
Meshakhte
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Giorgi Kantaria
Meshakhte
🟨
19'
Marios Pourzitidis
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟨
30'
Jaba Kankava
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
46'
Leo Santos ↔ K. Doltmurziev
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
46'
J. Kankava ↔ L. Houri
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
46'
T. Patsatsia ↔ M. Kvirkvia
Meshakhte
🔄
61'
M. Do Couto ↔ M. Gbomadu
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟨
62'
Ivan Zotko
Meshakhte
🔄
64'
I. Sikharulidze ↔ G. Gogolashvili
Meshakhte
🔄
64'
M. Pyrogov ↔ B. Shubitidze
Meshakhte
🔄
66'
M. Vatsadze ↔ G. Kharaishvili
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟥
68'
Nikoloz Ugrekhelidze
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
79'
G. Burduli ↔ G. Gegia
Meshakhte
🔄
79'
G. Kantaria ↔ T. Sikalo
Meshakhte
🔄
84'
N. Kurdic ↔ G. Lomidze
Dinamo Tbilisi

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Meshakhte Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.26
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.48
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.2%
1.26 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.48 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.05 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Tbilisi Win 77.2%
Draw 4.8%
Meshakhte Win 18%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Tbilisi1.63
Meshakhte1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi
WWDLW
51 GF / 50 GA
Meshakhte Meshakhte
WLDWL
24 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.82
22
BTTS Yes
16
19
Over 2.5
14
4.73
Shots on Goal
2.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 34 matches
Meshakhte Meshakhte 28 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi Statistic Meshakhte
13 Wins 3
11 Draws 9
10 Losses 16
51 Goals For 24
50 Goals Against 51
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82
22 BTTS Yes 16
27 Over 1.5 19
19 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 9
4.73 Shots On Goal 2.17
3.62 Total Shots 2.38
4.65 Corners 3.25
46.1% Ball Possession 41.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Dinamo Tbilisi's more proactive style and Meshakhte's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Dinamo Tbilisi come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Dinamo Tbilisi arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 37 points compared to Meshakhte in 10 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Meshakhte. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Meshakhte having the stronger overall control.

Dinamo Tbilisi Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 37 points from 22 games, Dinamo Tbilisi bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 35:26, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Meshakhte Analysis

Meshakhte sit 10 with 14 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats with a 17:40 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Tbilisi won 1 times, Meshakhte won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:2 from Dinamo Tbilisi's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Dinamo Tbilisi 4-4-2 / Meshakhte 5-4-1
H2H summary: Dinamo Tbilisi wins 1, draws 1, Meshakhte wins 0

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 13 9 5 45:30 15 48
W W W D D
2 27 13 8 6 46:36 10 47
W D W W W
3 27 13 7 7 32:23 9 46
L W D L D
4 27 14 4 9 38:30 8 46
L W W W L
5 27 12 4 11 38:30 8 40
W L D W W
6 27 9 9 9 43:34 9 36
L W D D L
7 27 9 5 13 38:52 -14 32
L L L L D
8 27 6 11 10 25:37 -12 29
D L D L W
9 27 5 10 12 34:43 -9 25
L L D D L
10 27 2 11 14 20:44 -24 17
D L D D W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2