Derby
Match Timeline
West Brom
Derby vs West Brom Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
75.1%
|
2.18 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
2.06 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
90.2%
|
1.20 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.00 |
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 20.3%
Draw 4.7%
West Brom Win 75.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.06
West Brom2.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby
WWDLW
13 GF / 18 GA
West Brom
WLDWL
21 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
2.33
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
6
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
6
3.2
Shots on Goal
4.4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derby
11 matches
West Brom
9 matches
| Derby | Statistic | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 7 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 6 | Losses | 1 |
| 13 | Goals For | 21 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.33 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 3.2 | Shots On Goal | 4.4 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 11.2 |
| 4.8 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 44% | Ball Possession | 54.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 8 times, West Brom won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:10 from Derby's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.31 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / West Brom -
Missing players: Derby 10, West Brom 1
H2H summary: Derby wins 8, draws 4, West Brom wins 1
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 15 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 14 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 |
West Brom
Away
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 12 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 22 |
Derby
Home
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 4 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
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