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28.07.2026 12:00

Derby vs Valencia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 56.9%
Draw 8.3%
Valencia Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.57
Valencia1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
3 GF / 3 GA
Valencia Valencia
WLDWL
5 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 2 matches
Valencia Valencia 3 matches
Derby Statistic Valencia
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 2
3 Goals For 5
3 Goals Against 5
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
1 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 0 times, Valencia won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Derby's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Valencia 4-4-2
H2H summary: Derby wins 0, draws 0, Valencia wins 1