Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
68.1%
|
1.72 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.69 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
8.50 |
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportivo Recoleta
34 matches
Libertad Asuncion
40 matches
| Deportivo Recoleta | Statistic | Libertad Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 16 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 18 | Losses | 18 |
| 48 | Goals For | 57 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 3.53 | Shots On Goal | 4.43 |
| 10.47 | Total Shots | 12.75 |
| 3.79 | Corners | 4.65 |
| 48.2% | Ball Possession | 53.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Libertad Asuncion's more proactive style and Deportivo Recoleta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Libertad Asuncion carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 23 points while Deportivo Recoleta sit 11 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Deportivo Recoleta have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Libertad Asuncion.
Deportivo Recoleta sit 11 with 8 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 13:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on P. Charpentier (2 goals), H. López (2 goals), W. Báez (1 goals), with creative support from W. Báez (2 assists), P. Charpentier (1 assists), A. González (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Libertad Asuncion arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 23 points after 12 matches. The record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 19:13 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Vera (4 goals), A. Manzur (2 goals), M. Fernández (2 goals), with creative support from A. Benítez (2 assists), I. Ramirez (2 assists), Á. Campuzano (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Recoleta won 1 times, Libertad Asuncion won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:15 from Deportivo Recoleta's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 12 | 26 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Libertad Asuncion
Away
|
13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 26 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 25 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 23 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 10 | 23 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 1 | 17 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 12 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Deportivo Recoleta
Home
|
13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | -12 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 12 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | -18 | 3 |
D
D
L
L
L
|