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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
11.10.2026 20:00
Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti

Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J. Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Maipu Win 64%
Draw 11.3%
San Martin S.J. Win 24.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Maipu1.08
San Martin S.J.1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu
WWDLW
40 GF / 32 GA
San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J.
WLDWL
36 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.06
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
14
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 34 matches
San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 34 matches
Deportivo Maipu Statistic San Martin S.J.
14 Wins 13
8 Draws 10
12 Losses 11
40 Goals For 36
32 Goals Against 32
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
14 BTTS Yes 17
17 Over 1.5 23
13 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 2
12 Clean Sheets 12
12 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. San Martin S.J. arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Martin S.J. having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Martin S.J..

Deportivo Maipu Analysis

From their first 32 matches, Deportivo Maipu have collected 47 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, while the 39:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

San Martin S.J. Analysis

San Martin S.J. sit 9 with 45 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats with a 34:32 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Maipu won 1 times, San Martin S.J. won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Deportivo Maipu's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Maipu wins 1, draws 1, San Martin S.J. wins 3

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 15 13 4 32:15 17 58
D W D D D
2 32 15 11 6 38:26 12 56
W L W D W
3 32 17 4 11 38:30 8 55
W W D W W
4 32 15 9 8 48:40 8 54
L D D W W
5 32 13 9 10 34:26 8 48
D L W W L
6 32 13 9 10 32:28 4 48
L W L D W
7 32 13 8 11 39:31 8 47
W W D D D
8 32 13 7 12 32:31 1 46
W W L W L
9 32 12 9 11 34:32 2 45
L L W D L
10 32 10 13 9 35:32 3 43
W D L W L
11 32 11 9 12 27:30 -3 42
L L W L L
12 32 10 9 13 30:27 3 39
D W L W L
13 32 10 8 14 28:38 -10 38
W L L D L
14 32 9 10 13 26:35 -9 37
D L W L W
15 32 9 9 14 23:30 -7 36
L W D L W
16 32 6 16 10 27:32 -5 34
L W D D D
17 32 9 6 17 24:33 -9 33
W L W L L
18 32 5 8 19 23:54 -31 23
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation