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18.07.2026 19:00
Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
Referee: Oswaldo Contreras, Ecuador
Deportivo Cuenca
Match Timeline
Universidad Catolica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
34'
M. Alonso · Assist: F. Martinez
Universidad Catolica
🔄
46'
Y. H. Erique Villigua ↔ C. Arboleda
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
46'
J. Chacon ↔ M. Maccari
Deportivo Cuenca
⚽
50'
M. Alonso
Universidad Catolica
🔄
54'
D. Gonzalez ↔ M. Diaz
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
55'
Facundo Martinez
Universidad Catolica
🔄
64'
M. Alonso ↔ E. Valencia
Universidad Catolica
🔄
64'
M. Diaz ↔ L. Moreno
Universidad Catolica
🔄
65'
F. Martinez ↔ J. Chala
Universidad Catolica
🔄
69'
M. Klimowicz ↔ R. Ibarra
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
69'
E. Vega ↔ J. Mejia
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
81'
J. Fajardo ↔ B. Palacios
Universidad Catolica
🔄
89'
E. Mejia ↔ A. Rodriguez
Universidad Catolica

Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Catolica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Cuenca Win 55.6%
Draw 16.1%
Universidad Catolica Win 28.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Cuenca1.12
Universidad Catolica1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
WWDLW
23 GF / 23 GA
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
WLDWL
34 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
11
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
10
3.95
Shots on Goal
4.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 21 matches
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 22 matches
Deportivo Cuenca Statistic Universidad Catolica
10 Wins 9
4 Draws 5
7 Losses 8
23 Goals For 34
23 Goals Against 25
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
11 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 4
3.95 Shots On Goal 4.43
12.63 Total Shots 13.38
4.26 Corners 4.67
50.2% Ball Possession 57.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Universidad Catolica's more proactive style and Deportivo Cuenca's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Universidad Catolica. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Universidad Catolica arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo Cuenca Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Deportivo Cuenca have collected 27 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 18:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Jorge Ordóñez (5 goals), Matías Klimowicz (3 goals), David González (2 goals), with creative support from David González (2 assists), Germán Rivero (2 assists), Carlos Arboleda (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Universidad Catolica Analysis

With 26 points from 18 games and a place of 7, Universidad Catolica still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats with a 28:18 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on B. Palacios (4 goals), Daniel Clavijo (4 goals), E. Mejía (3 goals), with creative support from M. Díaz (5 assists), E. Mejía (2 assists), B. Palacios (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cuenca won 3 times, Universidad Catolica won 11 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:25 from Deportivo Cuenca's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.9%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Cuenca 4-2-3-1 / Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Cuenca wins 3, draws 1, Universidad Catolica wins 11

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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