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ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
22.04.2026 20:30
Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
Referee: Alex Fabricio Cajas Torres, Ecuador
Deportivo Cuenca
Match Timeline
Orense SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Beder Caicedo
Orense SC
🟨
31'
Jeremy Chacon
Deportivo Cuenca
⚽
35'
A. Herrera
Orense SC
🟨
38'
Edison Vega
Deportivo Cuenca
VAR
45+4'
Marcos Andrés López
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
45+4'
Óscar Quiñónez
Orense SC
🔄
46'
E. Vega ↔ J. Ordonez
Deportivo Cuenca
⚽
58'
P. Boolsen
Deportivo Cuenca
⚽
65'
A. Herrera · Assist: E. S. Zambrano Pesantez
Orense SC
⚽
67'
A. Herrera · Assist: B. Caicedo
Orense SC
🔄
71'
L. Mancinelli ↔ M. Diaz
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
71'
N. Leguizamon ↔ G. Rivero
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
74'
E. S. Zambrano Pesantez ↔ B. Vinan
Orense SC
🔄
77'
A. Lopez ↔ S. Morocho
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
77'
D. Gonzalez ↔ J. Mejia
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
81'
Jorge Ordóñez
Deportivo Cuenca
VAR
84'
Germán Rivero
Deportivo Cuenca
🟥
85'
Germán Rivero
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
86'
S. Vasquez ↔ E. Pluas
Orense SC
🟨
90+1'
Ángel Mena
Orense SC
🟨
90'
Erick Plúas
Orense SC
🔄
90+1'
A. Mena ↔ G. Rostagno
Orense SC

Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
77.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
52.6%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Cuenca Win 67.3%
Draw 7.6%
Orense SC Win 25.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Cuenca1.39
Orense SC1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
WWDLW
14 GF / 10 GA
Orense SC Orense SC
WLDWL
11 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.22
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
6
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
5
3.22
Shots on Goal
3.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 11 matches
Orense SC Orense SC 9 matches
Deportivo Cuenca Statistic Orense SC
6 Wins 2
2 Draws 3
3 Losses 4
14 Goals For 11
10 Goals Against 14
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
6 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
3.22 Shots On Goal 3.22
10.67 Total Shots 8.67
3.78 Corners 3.33
44.8% Ball Possession 45.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Deportivo Cuenca's more proactive style and Orense SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportivo Cuenca arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 14 points compared to Orense SC in 13 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Orense SC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Cuenca expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Orense SC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orense SC having the stronger overall control.

Deportivo Cuenca Analysis

Deportivo Cuenca come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 14 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 9:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Ordonez (3 goals), G. Rivero (2 goals), N. Leguizamon (2 goals), with creative support from G. Rivero (2 assists), C. Arboleda (2 assists), J. Ordonez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Orense SC Analysis

So far, Orense SC have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 9 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 11:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Agustin Herrera (2 goals), S. Vasquez (2 goals), A. Lorenzo (1 goals), with creative support from P. Velasco (2 assists), V. Burgoa (2 assists), M. Bermudez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cuenca won 2 times, Orense SC won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:18 from Deportivo Cuenca's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Cuenca 4-1-4-1 / Orense SC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Cuenca wins 2, draws 6, Orense SC wins 6

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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