Deportes Tolima vs Chico Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
87.3%
|
1.31 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
2.38 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
1.87 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.95 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Deportes Tolima
Chico
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportes Tolima
46 matches
Chico
29 matches
| Deportes Tolima | Statistic | Chico |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 8 |
| 12 | Draws | 4 |
| 15 | Losses | 17 |
| 57 | Goals For | 25 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.86 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.72 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 15 | Failed To Score | 16 |
| 4.59 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 12.91 | Total Shots | 9.34 |
| 4.8 | Corners | 3.93 |
| 56.6% | Ball Possession | 44.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Deportes Tolima's more proactive style and Chico's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Deportes Tolima arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 31 points compared to Chico in 18 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportes Tolima expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Chico in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chico having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Chico.
From their first 19 matches, Deportes Tolima have collected 31 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 27:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Sandoval (8 goals), Juan Torres (6 goals), A. Parra (5 goals), with creative support from Juan Torres (4 assists), S. Guzmán (4 assists), L. Sandoval (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Chico sit 18 with 17 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 15:32, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jairo Molina (4 goals), S. Mera (3 goals), Arlen Banguero (2 goals), with creative support from S. Mera (2 assists), D. Ramírez (2 assists), Y. Cabrera (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Tolima won 8 times, Chico won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:11 from Deportes Tolima's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.77 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Deportes Tolima
Home
|
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 |
Chico
Away
|
19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
L
D
D
L
|