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ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
26.07.2026 18:15
Estadio Jocay
Referee: Jennifer Mishel Canchingre Preciado, Ecuador
Delfin SC
Match Timeline
Leones del Norte
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
44'
Jefferson Valverde
Delfin SC
🔄
45+1'
M. Luque ↔ C. Solano
Leones del Norte
🔄
46'
M. Reyes ↔ K. Ushina
Delfin SC
🔄
46'
G. Heredia ↔ L. Castro
Delfin SC
🔄
46'
J. Arce ↔ E. Caicedo
Delfin SC
🔄
46'
Caicedo Nestor ↔ D. Pazmino
Leones del Norte
🔄
46'
C. Velez ↔ E. Pepinos
Leones del Norte
🔄
59'
D. Luna ↔ T. Ozaeta
Delfin SC
⚽
67'
D. Pazmino · Assist: E. Pepinos
Leones del Norte
🔄
79'
S. Portocarrero ↔ M. De La Cruz
Leones del Norte
🟨
84'
Luis Castillo
Delfin SC
🔄
90+1'
E. Griffa ↔ A. Folleco
Leones del Norte

Delfin SC vs Leones del Norte Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
91.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Delfin SC Win 36.6%
Draw 20.8%
Leones del Norte Win 42.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Delfin SC0.78
Leones del Norte0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Delfin SC Delfin SC
WWDLW
14 GF / 20 GA
Leones del Norte Leones del Norte
WLDWL
22 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.64
Average Goals Scored
1.05
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
7
3.33
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Delfin SC Delfin SC 22 matches
Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 21 matches
Delfin SC Statistic Leones del Norte
7 Wins 7
5 Draws 7
10 Losses 7
14 Goals For 22
20 Goals Against 21
0.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 10
7 Over 1.5 15
5 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 6
3.33 Shots On Goal 3.71
10.95 Total Shots 12.67
3.43 Corners 4
39% Ball Possession 46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Leones del Norte's more proactive style and Delfin SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Leones del Norte. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Leones del Norte having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Delfin SC Analysis

Delfin SC sit 13 with 23 points after 20 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 13:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Erick Mendoza (3 goals), Kevin Ushiña (2 goals), F. Ayunta (1 goals), with creative support from F. Ayunta (1 assists), Thiago Ozaeta (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Leones del Norte Analysis

Leones del Norte sit 8 with 27 points after 20 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 21:20 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Juan Anangonó (5 goals), Emiliano Griffa (3 goals), Segundo Portocarrero (1 goals), with creative support from Jonathan Arroyo (3 assists), Segundo Portocarrero (1 assists), D. Pazmiño (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Delfin SC won 0 times, Leones del Norte won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Delfin SC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.2%)
Predicted formations: Delfin SC 4-4-2 / Leones del Norte 5-3-2
H2H summary: Delfin SC wins 0, draws 0, Leones del Norte wins 2

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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