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01.08.2026 09:30
De Graafschap
Match Timeline
Excelsior
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
G. de Regt
Excelsior
⚽
17'
D. Garden
Excelsior
⚽
45'
G. de Regt
Excelsior
⚽
50'
D. Garden
Excelsior
⚽
81'
M. Smits
De Graafschap
⚽
83'
S. Janssen
Excelsior

De Graafschap vs Excelsior Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
De Graafschap Win 34.3%
Draw 3.7%
Excelsior Win 62%
Expected Goals (xG)
De Graafschap2.04
Excelsior3.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
De Graafschap De Graafschap
WWDLW
12 GF / 18 GA
Excelsior Excelsior
WLDWL
13 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.4
Average Goals Scored
3.25
3.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

De Graafschap De Graafschap 5 matches
Excelsior Excelsior 4 matches
De Graafschap Statistic Excelsior
2 Wins 4
0 Draws 0
3 Losses 0
12 Goals For 13
18 Goals Against 6
2.4 Avg Goals Scored 3.25
3.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
5 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, De Graafschap won 5 times, Excelsior won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:21 from De Graafschap's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: De Graafschap 4-2-3-1 / Excelsior 4-3-3
H2H summary: De Graafschap wins 5, draws 5, Excelsior wins 4