BRAZIL SERIE B
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Arena Pantanal
Referee: B. Vasconcelos

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.3%
Odds 3.84
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds 2.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.3%
3.84
BTTS Yes
78.9%
2.25
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.78
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.20
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Cuiaba Win 35.4%
Draw 14.4%
Operario-PR Win 50.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cuiaba1.06
Operario-PR1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WWDLW
19 GF / 17 GA
Operario-PR Operario-PR
WLDWL
30 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
1.36
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
8
BTTS Yes
13
4
Over 2.5
15
4.32
Shots on Goal
4.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cuiaba Cuiaba 22 matches
Operario-PR Operario-PR 22 matches
Cuiaba Statistic Operario-PR
6 Wins 10
11 Draws 5
5 Losses 7
19 Goals For 30
17 Goals Against 30
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
8 BTTS Yes 13
12 Over 1.5 16
4 Over 2.5 15
3 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 4
4.32 Shots On Goal 4.55
12.77 Total Shots 14.36
5.14 Corners 5.14
48% Ball Possession 52.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Operario-PR's more proactive style and Cuiaba's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cuiaba expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Operario-PR in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Operario-PR having the stronger overall control. Operario-PR carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 35 points while Cuiaba sit 15 on 26, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Operario-PR.

Cuiaba Analysis

Cuiaba approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 26 points from 21 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 11 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 16:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on João Basso (2 goals), Hernandes (2 goals), Pepê (1 goals), with creative support from Pepê (3 assists), Eliel (2 assists), João Basso (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Operario-PR Analysis

Operario-PR come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 35 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 29:28 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gabriel Boschilia (9 goals), Pablo (5 goals), Vinicius Diniz (3 goals), with creative support from Mikael Doka (3 assists), Aylon (2 assists), Gabriel Feliciano (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Cuiaba won 3 times, Operario-PR won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:13 from Cuiaba's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
Predicted formations: Cuiaba 3-4-2-1 / Operario-PR 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cuiaba wins 3, draws 5, Operario-PR wins 3
Last matches: Cuiaba
15.08.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
3
1
W
09.08.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
27.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
17.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Juventude
0
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
2
2
D
02.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
1
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Londrina
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Avai
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
1
0
W
09.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
CRB
2
0
W
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
L
Last matches: Operario-PR
16.08.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Avai
1
2
L
07.08.26
Ser
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
1
3
L
27.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Atletico Goianiense
1
3
L
22.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
3
2
W
18.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Sport Recife
2
2
D
12.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Novorizontino
2
1
W
07.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Athletic Club
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Goias
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
05.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Juventude
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Ceara
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Criciuma
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
2
6
L
09.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
CRB
0
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Londrina
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Avai
0
0
D
H2H: Cuiaba vs Operario-PR
12.04.26
H2H
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
0
0
D
14.09.25
H2H
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
1
1
D
11.05.25
H2H
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
2
3
L
19.12.20
H2H
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
2
0
W
22.09.20
H2H
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
1
1
D
07.09.19
H2H
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
2
1
L
04.05.19
H2H
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
2
1
W
22.09.18
H2H
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
1
L
16.09.18
H2H
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
3
3
D
22.07.18
H2H
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
1
1
D
19.05.18
H2H
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
4
0
W
Last matches: Cuiaba
09.08.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
02.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
1
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Londrina
2
2
D
14.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
CRB
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
0
0
D
H2H at home: Cuiaba
11.05.25
H2H
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
2
3
L
19.12.20
H2H
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
2
0
W
04.05.19
H2H
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
2
1
W
22.09.18
H2H
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
1
L
19.05.18
H2H
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
4
0
W
Last matches: Operario-PR
27.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Atletico Goianiense
1
3
L
18.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Sport Recife
2
2
D
07.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Athletic Club
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Goias
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Ceara
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
CRB
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Avai
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
2
1
W
H2H away: Operario-PR
11.05.25
H2H
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
2
3
W
19.12.20
H2H
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
2
0
L
04.05.19
H2H
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
2
1
L
22.09.18
H2H
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
1
W
19.05.18
H2H
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
4
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.84
Draw 2.99
Home 2.22
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.84
Draw 1.96
Home 2.99
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.5 1.56
Over 1.75 1.74
Over 2.0 2.05
Over 2.25 2.42
Over 2.5 2.78
Over 3.5 5.59
Under 0.5 6.18
Under 1.5 2.47
Under 1.75 2.14
Under 2.0 1.81
Under 2.25 1.59
Under 2.5 1.46
Under 3.5 1.15
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 3.00
Home 2.15
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 1.91
Home 2.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.10
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.53
Over 2.5 2.70
Over 3.5 5.50
Over 4.5 13.00
Over 5.5 29.00
Under 0.5 6.50
Under 1.5 2.38
Under 2.5 1.44
Under 3.5 1.14
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 2.90
Home 2.18
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.79
Draw 1.81
Home 2.95
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.18
Draw 2.11
Home 2.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 0.75 1.09
Over 1.0 1.12
Over 1.25 1.31
Over 1.5 1.49
Over 1.75 1.66
Over 2.0 1.92
Over 2.25 2.26
Over 2.5 2.69
Over 2.75 3.20
Over 3.0 4.40
Over 3.25 4.78
Over 3.5 5.20
Over 3.75 7.30
Over 4.0 8.90
Over 4.5 11.50
Over 5.5 29.00
Under 0.5 6.05
Under 0.75 5.35
Under 1.0 4.70
Under 1.25 2.92
Under 1.5 2.30
Under 1.75 2.03
Under 2.0 1.74
Under 2.25 1.51
Under 2.5 1.44
Under 2.75 1.28
Under 3.0 1.15
Under 3.25 1.12
Under 3.5 1.10
Under 3.75 1.05
Under 4.0 1.02
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.55
Draw 2.95
Home 2.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 1.94
Home 2.95
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.23
Home 2.63
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.09
Over 1.5 1.49
Over 1.75 1.65
Over 2.0 1.91
Over 2.25 2.25
Over 2.5 2.55
Over 2.75 3.10
Over 3.0 4.10
Over 3.5 5.10
Over 4.5 10.50
Under 0.5 6.50
Under 1.5 2.48
Under 1.75 2.16
Under 2.0 1.84
Under 2.25 1.61
Under 2.5 1.47
Under 2.75 1.34
Under 3.0 1.21
Under 3.5 1.14
Under 4.5 1.02

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 24:14 10 43
W L D W W
2 22 11 6 5 23:12 11 39
D W W L W
3 22 11 4 7 29:25 4 37
W L L W L
4 22 10 6 6 24:20 4 36
D D W L W
5 22 10 5 7 30:30 0 35
L L L W D
6 22 8 11 3 28:20 8 35
W W D D D
7 22 9 7 6 32:20 12 34
D L W L L
8 22 8 10 4 24:19 5 34
W W D W D
9 22 9 6 7 32:32 0 33
D W W W W
10 22 9 5 8 22:27 -5 32
L W L D W
11 22 8 8 6 24:23 1 32
L D W W D
12 22 8 6 8 31:25 6 30
L W L L D
13 22 8 6 8 27:22 5 30
W W L W D
14 22 6 11 5 19:17 2 29
W D D L L
15 22 7 6 9 26:26 0 27
D D D W L
16 22 6 7 9 23:28 -5 25
L W W L D
17 22 6 5 11 23:29 -6 23
W L L W D
18 22 5 5 12 28:34 -6 20
L L L L D
19 22 2 5 15 16:36 -20 11
L L W L D
20 22 2 4 16 16:42 -26 10
D L D L L
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