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BRAZIL › SERIE B
23.07.2026 23:30
Arena Pantanal
Referee: Joao Vitor Gobi, Brazil
Cuiaba
Match Timeline
Atletico Goianiense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
38'
David
Cuiaba
🟨
39'
Guilherme Marques
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
45+1'
Railan
Cuiaba
🔄
46'
Guilherme ↔ Bruno Jose
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
46'
Geovany Soares ↔ Leo Tocantins
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
57'
Igor Henrique ↔ Klebert
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
59'
David Miguel ↔ Luiz Otavio
Cuiaba
🔄
59'
Rodrigo Rodrigues ↔ Kauan Cristtyan
Cuiaba
⚽
61'
Bruno Jose · Assist: Guilherme
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
63'
Pepê
Cuiaba
🔄
67'
Fabio Gomes ↔ H. Pedro
Cuiaba
🔄
67'
Jean Dias ↔ Eliel
Cuiaba
🔄
67'
Marlon ↔ Eric Melo
Cuiaba
🔄
74'
Marrony ↔ Cristiano
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
80'
Cristiano
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
86'
Leandro Vilela ↔ Tito
Atletico Goianiense

Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cuiaba Win 50.4%
Draw 13.1%
Atletico Goianiense Win 36.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cuiaba0.89
Atletico Goianiense0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WWDLW
14 GF / 13 GA
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WLDWL
19 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
1.06
0.72
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
5
BTTS Yes
10
3
Over 2.5
7
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cuiaba Cuiaba 18 matches
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 18 matches
Cuiaba Statistic Atletico Goianiense
5 Wins 6
9 Draws 7
4 Losses 5
14 Goals For 19
13 Goals Against 19
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
0.72 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
5 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 12
3 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 1
9 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 5
4.5 Shots On Goal 4.33
12.61 Total Shots 13.83
4.78 Corners 5.83
48.7% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Cuiaba's more proactive style and Atletico Goianiense's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Atletico Goianiense. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cuiaba expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Atletico Goianiense in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Goianiense having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Cuiaba Analysis

Cuiaba are currently 11 in the standings with 24 points from 17 matches. The record of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 14:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through João Basso (2 goals), Hernandes (2 goals), Pepê (1 goals), with creative support from Pepê (3 assists), João Basso (1 assists), Hernandes (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

Atletico Goianiense sit 10 with 24 points after 17 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 19:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gustavo Coutinho (6 goals), Leo Jacó (3 goals), Guilherme Marques (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme Marques (3 assists), Geovany Soares (2 assists), Bruno José (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Cuiaba won 1 times, Atletico Goianiense won 3 times, while 10 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from Cuiaba's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.9%)
Predicted formations: Cuiaba 5-4-1 / Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cuiaba wins 1, draws 10, Atletico Goianiense wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 37:19 18 59
W W W L L
2 32 17 7 8 44:31 13 58
D W W W D
3 32 16 9 7 54:27 27 57
W W D L D
4 32 15 11 6 37:27 10 56
W D D W D
5 32 15 8 9 33:28 5 53
L W W L L
6 32 14 10 8 40:30 10 52
L W W L W
7 32 15 6 11 49:45 4 51
W L W L W
8 32 13 11 8 44:34 10 50
W W L W L
9 32 13 9 10 44:43 1 48
L L D W D
10 32 11 14 7 32:25 7 47
D W L W D
11 32 13 6 13 32:40 -8 45
W L L W W
12 32 12 9 11 44:34 10 45
L W D W W
13 32 11 9 12 39:40 -1 42
L D W L D
14 32 11 9 12 35:39 -4 42
W W D W D
15 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
16 32 10 8 14 36:38 -2 38
W L W D L
17 32 9 6 17 32:43 -11 33
W L L L D
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 32 4 5 23 21:53 -32 17
L L L L L
20 32 3 4 25 17:68 -51 13
L L L W L
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