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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
26.09.2026 23:15
Estadio General Santander
Referee: J. Ortiz
Cucuta
Match Timeline
Llaneros
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
Jaime Peralta · Assist: Gustavo Torres
Cucuta
🟨
15'
Howell Mena
Llaneros
🟨
33'
Jhon Vasquez
Llaneros
🟨
39'
Leider Berdugo
Cucuta
🟨
45+2'
Luis Miranda
Llaneros
⚽
45+3'
Leider Berdugo
Cucuta
🟨
46'
Jaime Peralta
Cucuta
⚽
57'
Yorleys Mena
Llaneros
🔄
64'
Gustavo Torres ↔ Juan Ceballos
Cucuta
🔄
64'
Jhon Vasquez ↔ Daniel Mantilla
Llaneros
🔄
64'
Luis Miranda ↔ Juan Ramirez
Llaneros
🔄
71'
Yair Abonia ↔ Leison Ochoa
Cucuta
🔄
72'
Frank Castaneda ↔ Joel Jesús Contreras Torres
Llaneros
🔄
72'
Marlon Sierra ↔ Kelvin Osorio
Llaneros
🟥
80'
José Luis García Herrera
Llaneros
🔄
82'
Neider Ospina ↔ Carlos Cortés
Llaneros
🔄
83'
Brayan Montano ↔ Mauricio Duarte
Cucuta
🔄
83'
Leider Berdugo ↔ Kevin Londoño
Cucuta
🔄
83'
Dayan Pérez ↔ Diego Calcaterra
Cucuta
🟨
90+1'
Yorleys Mena
Llaneros
🟨
90+4'
Kelvin Osorio
Llaneros
🟥
90+4'
Dennys Quintero
Llaneros

Cucuta vs Llaneros Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.57
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 2.23
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
64.5%
1.57 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
2.23 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.5%
1.22 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Cucuta Win 35.5%
Draw 22.1%
Llaneros Win 42.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cucuta1.08
Llaneros1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cucuta Cucuta
WWDLW
32 GF / 54 GA
Llaneros Llaneros
WLDWL
30 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
19
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
8
3.55
Shots on Goal
3.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cucuta Cucuta 30 matches
Llaneros Llaneros 30 matches
Cucuta Statistic Llaneros
5 Wins 8
11 Draws 12
14 Losses 10
32 Goals For 30
54 Goals Against 33
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
19 BTTS Yes 15
26 Over 1.5 22
15 Over 2.5 8
10 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 8
3.55 Shots On Goal 3.52
9 Total Shots 10.17
3.59 Corners 4.93
43.4% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Llaneros. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cucuta expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Llaneros in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Llaneros having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Llaneros arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Cucuta Analysis

Cucuta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 16 points from 19 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 22:35 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Jaime Peralta (7 goals), Luifer Hernández (5 goals), L. Berdugo (4 goals), with creative support from L. Berdugo (7 assists), K. Tamayo (3 assists), Luifer Hernández (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Llaneros Analysis

Llaneros approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 22 points from 19 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 17:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on N. Ospina (6 goals), J. Vásquez (6 goals), Carlos Cortés (3 goals), with creative support from N. Ospina (4 assists), L. Miranda (3 assists), J. Ramírez (3 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cucuta won 5 times, Llaneros won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:16 from Cucuta's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.9%)
Predicted formations: Cucuta 5-4-1 / Llaneros 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Cucuta wins 5, draws 6, Llaneros wins 4

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
D W D L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L W W L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W D L W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L L W L
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D D D D L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W L W W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D L L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D D W W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L D L W D
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W L L D L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W W W D W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L W L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L L L D D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W L W W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
D W L L W
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W L L D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L D D L
Post season qualification