Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
72.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Cucuta
Alianza Valledupar
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cucuta
25 matches
Alianza Valledupar
24 matches
| Cucuta | Statistic | Alianza Valledupar |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 10 | Draws | 11 |
| 11 | Losses | 10 |
| 27 | Goals For | 18 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.75 |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.46 | Shots On Goal | 2.73 |
| 8.83 | Total Shots | 10.82 |
| 3.71 | Corners | 4.23 |
| 42.8% | Ball Possession | 45.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Cucuta have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Alianza Valledupar. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Cucuta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 16 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats with a 22:35 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jaime Peralta (1 goals), Lucas Ríos (1 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 17 points from 19 games and a place of 17, Alianza Valledupar still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 13:27, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas (2 goals), Felipe Pardo (1 goals), Misael Martínez (1 goals), with creative support from Jhildrey Lasso (2 assists), Déinner Quiñones (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Cucuta won 2 times, Alianza Valledupar won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from Cucuta's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Cucuta
Independiente Medellin
Cucuta
Internacional de Bogota
Cucuta
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
Once Caldas
Cucuta
Jaguares
Cucuta
Junior
Cucuta
Santa Fe
Cucuta
America de Cali
Cucuta
Atletico Nacional
Cucuta
Chico
Cucuta
Deportivo Pereira
Cucuta
Llaneros
Cucuta
Deportivo Cali
Cucuta
Millonarios
Cucuta
Deportivo Pasto
Cucuta
Deportes Tolima
Cucuta
Alianza Valledupar
Cucuta
Independiente Medellin
Cucuta
Águilas Doradas
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
Alianza Valledupar
Deportes Tolima
Alianza Valledupar
Fortaleza FC
Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
Llaneros
Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
Alianza Valledupar
Internacional de Bogota
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pasto
Alianza Valledupar
Águilas Doradas
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Cali
Alianza Valledupar
Jaguares
Alianza Valledupar
Santa Fe
Alianza Valledupar
Junior
Alianza Valledupar
America de Cali
Alianza Valledupar
Atletico Nacional
Alianza Valledupar
Cucuta
Alianza Valledupar
Once Caldas
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
Internacional de Bogota
Cucuta
Junior
Cucuta
America de Cali
Cucuta
Chico
Cucuta
Deportivo Cali
Cucuta
Deportes Tolima
Cucuta
Independiente Medellin
Cucuta
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
Once Caldas
Cucuta
Huracan
Cucuta
Real Cundinamarca
Cucuta
Internacional Palmira
Cucuta
Jaguares
Cucuta
Huila
Cucuta
Orsomarso
Cucuta
Leones FC
Cucuta
Jaguares
Cucuta
Real Santander
Cucuta
Popayan
Alianza Valledupar
Llaneros
Alianza Valledupar
Internacional de Bogota
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza Valledupar
Águilas Doradas
Alianza Valledupar
Santa Fe
Alianza Valledupar
Junior
Alianza Valledupar
Atletico Nacional
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
Alianza Valledupar
Deportes Tolima
Alianza Valledupar
Fortaleza FC
Alianza Valledupar
Santa Fe
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Cali
Alianza Valledupar
Águilas Doradas
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pasto
Alianza Valledupar
Envigado
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
Alianza Valledupar
Union Magdalena
Alianza Valledupar
Atletico Nacional
Alianza Valledupar
Fortaleza FC
Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Alianza Valledupar
Away
|
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 |
Cucuta
Home
|
19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
D
D
L
L
W
|