Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
73.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.1%
|
- |
Crystal Palace
West Ham
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Crystal Palace
46 matches
West Ham
36 matches
| Crystal Palace | Statistic | West Ham |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 10 |
| 13 | Draws | 10 |
| 15 | Losses | 16 |
| 57 | Goals For | 47 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 62 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.72 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 18 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.2 | Shots On Goal | 3.72 |
| 13.24 | Total Shots | 11.36 |
| 4.54 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 50.2% | Ball Possession | 44.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Crystal Palace appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward West Ham. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Crystal Palace expected to line up in 3-4-3 and West Ham in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward West Ham having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring West Ham. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
So far, Crystal Palace have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 42 points from 31 matches. The record of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 35:36 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Jean-Philippe Mateta (10 goals), I. Sarr (7 goals), Daniel Muñoz (3 goals), with creative support from Adam Wharton (5 assists), Jefferson Lerma (3 assists), Daniel Muñoz (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with E. Guessand, E. Nketiah, C. Doucoure unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
West Ham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 32 points from 32 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 16 defeats with a 40:57 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Bowen (8 goals), C. Summerville (5 goals), C. Wilson (5 goals), with creative support from J. Bowen (8 assists), M. Diouf (5 assists), M. Fernandes (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with L. Fabianski unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Crystal Palace won 8 times, West Ham won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:22 from Crystal Palace's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.
Crystal Palace
1
4
7
3
1
2
Lineups
Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
Brentford
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Everton
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
Leeds
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
Crystal Palace
Wolves
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
West Ham
Leeds
West Ham
Newcastle
West Ham
Arsenal
West Ham
Brentford
West Ham
Everton
West Ham
Wolves
West Ham
Leeds
West Ham
Aston Villa
West Ham
Manchester City
West Ham
Brentford
West Ham
Fulham
West Ham
Liverpool
West Ham
Bournemouth
West Ham
Burton Albion
West Ham
Manchester United
West Ham
Burnley
West Ham
Chelsea
West Ham
Sunderland
West Ham
Tottenham
West Ham
QPR
Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
Everton
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
Leeds
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
Crystal Palace
Wolves
Crystal Palace
Burnley
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
KuPS
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Crystal Palace
AZ Alkmaar
West Ham
Newcastle
West Ham
Brentford
West Ham
Aston Villa
West Ham
Fulham
West Ham
Liverpool
West Ham
Burton Albion
West Ham
Burnley
West Ham
Chelsea
West Ham
Tottenham
West Ham
Wolves
West Ham
Manchester City
West Ham
Brighton
West Ham
Manchester United
West Ham
Bournemouth
West Ham
Leeds
West Ham
Arsenal
West Ham
Everton
West Ham
Nottingham Forest
West Ham
Sunderland
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
Home
|
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 |
West Ham
Away
|
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|