BRAZIL SERIE B
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 76.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.3%
-
BTTS No
76.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Criciuma Win 76.3%
Draw 5.2%
Fortaleza EC Win 18.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Criciuma1.02
Fortaleza EC0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Criciuma Criciuma
WWDLW
24 GF / 14 GA
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
WLDWL
24 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.09
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
9
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
9
3.68
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Criciuma Criciuma 22 matches
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 22 matches
Criciuma Statistic Fortaleza EC
12 Wins 10
7 Draws 6
3 Losses 6
24 Goals For 24
14 Goals Against 20
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
9 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 12
4 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 10
4 Failed To Score 8
3.68 Shots On Goal 4
13.23 Total Shots 13.18
6.23 Corners 5.27
51.3% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Fortaleza EC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Criciuma expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Fortaleza EC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortaleza EC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Criciuma Analysis

Criciuma approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 43 points after 22 outings. The return of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 24:14, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Fellipe Mateus (4 goals), Rómulo Otero (2 goals), Marcelo Hermes (2 goals), with creative support from Rómulo Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Marcelo Hermes (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Fortaleza EC Analysis

Fortaleza EC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 36 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 24:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Vitinho (4 goals), Juan Miritello (3 goals), Maílton (2 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), Maurício Júnior (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Criciuma won 1 times, Fortaleza EC won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Criciuma's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Criciuma 3-4-3 / Fortaleza EC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Criciuma wins 1, draws 1, Fortaleza EC wins 3
Last matches: Criciuma
15.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
1
0
W
09.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Athletic Club
0
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
21.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Novorizontino
1
0
W
18.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Vila Nova
2
0
W
08.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Sport Recife
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
São Bernardo
1
0
W
23.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
America Mineiro
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ceara
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Londrina
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Avai
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Operario-PR
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Juventude
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Cuiaba
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
CRB
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
3
L
10.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
07.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
0
1
L
Last matches: Fortaleza EC
15.08.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
0
0
D
09.08.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
1
1
D
29.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
1
2
L
18.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
1
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
03.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
2
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
CRB
1
1
D
16.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
0
3
L
09.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Avai
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Goias
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
2
1
W
H2H: Criciuma vs Fortaleza EC
19.04.26
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
3
2
L
10.08.24
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
1
0
L
24.07.24
H2H
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
08.09.18
H2H
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
0
W
23.05.18
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
2
0
L
Last matches: Criciuma
15.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
1
0
W
26.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
18.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Vila Nova
2
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Sport Recife
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
São Bernardo
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ceara
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Londrina
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
CRB
3
1
W
10.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Athletic Club
1
1
D
H2H at home: Criciuma
24.07.24
H2H
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
08.09.18
H2H
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
0
W
Last matches: Fortaleza EC
15.08.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
0
0
D
09.08.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
1
1
D
22.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
CRB
1
1
D
09.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Avai
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
1
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
0
4
L
H2H away: Fortaleza EC
24.07.24
H2H
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
08.09.18
H2H
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 24:14 10 43
W L D W W
2 22 11 6 5 23:12 11 39
D W W L W
3 22 11 4 7 29:25 4 37
W L L W L
4 22 10 6 6 24:20 4 36
D D W L W
5 22 10 5 7 30:30 0 35
L L L W D
6 22 8 11 3 28:20 8 35
W W D D D
7 22 9 7 6 32:20 12 34
D L W L L
8 22 8 10 4 24:19 5 34
W W D W D
9 22 9 6 7 32:32 0 33
D W W W W
10 23 8 9 6 24:23 1 33
D L D W W
11 22 9 5 8 22:27 -5 32
L W L D W
12 22 8 6 8 31:25 6 30
L W L L D
13 22 8 6 8 27:22 5 30
W W L W D
14 22 6 11 5 19:17 2 29
W D D L L
15 22 7 6 9 26:26 0 27
D D D W L
16 22 6 7 9 23:28 -5 25
L W W L D
17 22 6 5 11 23:29 -6 23
W L L W D
18 23 5 6 12 28:34 -6 21
D L L L L
19 22 2 5 15 16:36 -20 11
L L W L D
20 22 2 4 16 16:42 -26 10
D L D L L
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