Crewe vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
58.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
70.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.9%
|
- |
Crewe
Milton Keynes Dons
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Crewe
44 matches
Milton Keynes Dons
46 matches
| Crewe | Statistic | Milton Keynes Dons |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 24 |
| 9 | Draws | 14 |
| 16 | Losses | 8 |
| 64 | Goals For | 86 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.87 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.02 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 29 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 36 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 18 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.84 | Shots On Goal | 4.51 |
| 12 | Total Shots | 11.84 |
| 4.93 | Corners | 4.44 |
| 49.1% | Ball Possession | 48% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Milton Keynes Dons. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Milton Keynes Dons carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 79 points while Crewe sit 10 on 66, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Crewe expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Milton Keynes Dons in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Milton Keynes Dons having the stronger overall control.
Crewe are currently 10 in the standings with 66 points from 43 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 19 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses, while the 63:53 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. March (11 goals), E. Tezgel (10 goals), Tommi O'Reilly (7 goals), with creative support from Tommi O'Reilly (11 assists), J. March (5 assists), R. Hutchinson (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Milton Keynes Dons arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 79 points after 43 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 22 wins, 13 draws, and 8 losses, while the 79:43 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Paterson (14 goals), A. Gilbey (10 goals), Nathaniel Méndez-Laing (8 goals), with creative support from C. Paterson (8 assists), L. Kelly (7 assists), A. Gilbey (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 10 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Crewe won 5 times, Milton Keynes Dons won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:29 from Crewe's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Milton Keynes Dons
Away
|
46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Crewe
Home
|
46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 12 | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|