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ITALY › SERIE B
28.08.2026 18:30
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Referee: A. Rapuano
Cremonese
Match Timeline
Modena
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Simone Pontisso
Cremonese
🟨
24'
Giacomo Olzer
Modena
🟨
30'
Fabio Gerli
Cremonese
⚽
31'
G. Olzer · Assist: G. Brugman
Modena
⚽
45'
G. Olzer · Assist: G. Ambrosino
Modena
🔄
46'
G. Pezzella ↔ D. Lordkipanidze
Cremonese
🔄
46'
F. Bonazzoli ↔ M. Nasti
Cremonese
⚽
55'
G. Caso · Assist: G. Ambrosino
Modena
🔄
59'
G. Olzer ↔ P. Azzi
Modena
🔄
59'
G. Caso ↔ A. Imputato
Modena
🔄
64'
A. Vogliacco ↔ F. Folino
Cremonese
🔄
64'
F. Gerli ↔ S. Lottici Tessadri
Cremonese
🔄
71'
S. Pontisso ↔ T. Berti
Cremonese
🔄
78'
G. Brugman ↔ W. Acquah
Modena
🔄
87'
F. Zampano ↔ K. Bozhanaj
Modena
🔄
87'
G. Ambrosino ↔ D. Montevago
Modena

Cremonese vs Modena Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.9%
Odds 1.79
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.9%
1.79 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
2.10 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.40 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
87.5%
1.26 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Cremonese Win 60.9%
Draw 14.6%
Modena Win 24.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cremonese1.17
Modena1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cremonese Cremonese
WWDLW
7 GF / 2 GA
Modena Modena
WLDWL
10 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.67
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
3
2.5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cremonese Cremonese 5 matches
Modena Modena 6 matches
Cremonese Statistic Modena
2 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
7 Goals For 10
2 Goals Against 5
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
1 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
2.5 Shots On Goal 4
11 Total Shots 12
3.5 Corners 3.5
63% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Cremonese won 3 times, Modena won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:6 from Cremonese's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.4%)
Predicted formations: Cremonese 3-5-2 / Modena 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cremonese wins 3, draws 2, Modena wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 10:5 5 13
W D W W W
2 5 3 2 0 9:3 6 11
W D W D W
3 5 3 2 0 10:5 5 11
D W D W W
4 5 3 1 1 7:4 3 10
W L W D W
5 6 3 1 2 11:7 4 10
W L D W W
6 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
W D L W W
7 5 2 1 2 5:6 -1 7
L W L D W
8 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W W L D L
9 5 2 1 2 10:7 3 7
W L W D L
10 5 1 4 0 7:6 1 7
D D D W D
11 5 2 1 2 8:8 0 7
D L W W L
12 5 2 0 3 6:13 -7 6
L W L L W
13 5 2 0 3 4:6 -2 6
L L W L W
14 5 1 2 2 7:6 1 5
D W D L L
15 5 1 2 2 5:7 -2 5
D D W L L
16 5 1 2 2 7:10 -3 5
L D D L W
17 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
L W L L L
18 5 1 0 4 5:9 -4 3
L W L L L
19 5 1 2 2 4:7 -3 1
D D L W L
20 5 0 1 4 2:6 -4 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation