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POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA
11.05.2026 17:00
Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Referee: D. Stefanski
Cracovia Krakow
Match Timeline
Radomiak Radom
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Dominik Piła
Cracovia Krakow
🟨
50'
Mateusz Praszelik
Cracovia Krakow
🟨
57'
Gustav Henriksson
Cracovia Krakow
VAR
59'
Abdoul Tapsoba
Radomiak Radom
🟥
60'
Abdoul Tapsoba
Radomiak Radom
🔄
63'
E. Balde ↔ R. Alves
Radomiak Radom
🔄
63'
V. Lopes ↔ S. Soumah
Radomiak Radom
🔄
66'
M. Praszelik ↔ M. Minchev
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
66'
D. Pila ↔ G. Charpentier
Cracovia Krakow
🟨
68'
Martin Minchev
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
78'
R. Baro ↔ M. Cichocki
Radomiak Radom
🔄
80'
K. Zahiroleslam ↔ P. Sans
Cracovia Krakow
🟨
81'
Luquinhas
Radomiak Radom
🟨
83'
Adrián Diéguez
Radomiak Radom
🟨
90+1'
Kamil Glik
Cracovia Krakow
🟨
90+4'
Steve Kingue
Radomiak Radom
🟨
90+3'
Mateusz Cichocki
Radomiak Radom
🔄
90'
B. Sutalo ↔ K. Glik
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
90+2'
↔ Maurides
Radomiak Radom

Cracovia Krakow vs Radomiak Radom Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 33.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 28.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
33.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
28.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cracovia Krakow Win 26%
Draw 12.6%
Radomiak Radom Win 61.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cracovia Krakow1.25
Radomiak Radom1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
WWDLW
35 GF / 38 GA
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
WLDWL
49 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
15
BTTS Yes
22
15
Over 2.5
18
3.68
Shots on Goal
4.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 31 matches
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 31 matches
Cracovia Krakow Statistic Radomiak Radom
9 Wins 11
12 Draws 10
10 Losses 10
35 Goals For 49
38 Goals Against 44
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
15 BTTS Yes 22
20 Over 1.5 26
15 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 13
13 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 5
3.68 Shots On Goal 4.23
12.45 Total Shots 14.26
4.77 Corners 4.65
51% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Radomiak Radom's more proactive style and Cracovia Krakow's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cracovia Krakow expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Radomiak Radom in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Radomiak Radom having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Radomiak Radom. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Cracovia Krakow Analysis

Cracovia Krakow approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 39 points from 31 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 12 draws, and 10 defeats with a 35:38 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Hasic (7 goals), F. Stojilkovic (7 goals), M. Minchev (4 goals), with creative support from A. Al Ammari (4 assists), A. Hasic (3 assists), F. Stojilkovic (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Radomiak Radom Analysis

So far, Radomiak Radom have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 43 points from 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses, while the 49:44 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on Maurides (8 goals), Abdoul Tapsoba (6 goals), Capita (6 goals), with creative support from R. Wolski (7 assists), J. Grzesik (5 assists), Zie Ouattara (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Cracovia Krakow won 5 times, Radomiak Radom won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:10 from Cracovia Krakow's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.4%)
Predicted formations: Cracovia Krakow 4-4-2 / Radomiak Radom 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Cracovia Krakow wins 5, draws 1, Radomiak Radom wins 5

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation