Corinthians
Match Timeline
Penarol
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
56.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
72.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Corinthians Win 35.9%
Draw 10.1%
Penarol Win 54%
Expected Goals (xG)
Corinthians0.95
Penarol1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Corinthians
WWDLW
13 GF / 11 GA
Penarol
WLDWL
21 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.87
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
5
BTTS Yes
9
2
Over 2.5
7
3.33
Shots on Goal
5.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Corinthians
15 matches
Penarol
15 matches
| Corinthians | Statistic | Penarol |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 5 |
| 13 | Goals For | 21 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 0.87 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 0.73 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.33 | Shots On Goal | 5.5 |
| 10.2 | Total Shots | 12.5 |
| 4.6 | Corners | 2.5 |
| 52.9% | Ball Possession | 48.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Corinthians won 1 times, Penarol won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from Corinthians's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Corinthians 4-2-3-1 / Penarol 4-3-3
H2H summary: Corinthians wins 1, draws 1, Penarol wins 2
Stats
Corinthians
Penarol
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
6
6
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
5
5
Blocked Shots
4
4
Lineups
Corinthians
Formation
Penarol
Hugo Souza
Matheuzinho
Gabriel Paulista
Gustavo Henrique
Matheus Bidu
Andre
Raniele
Breno Bidon
R. Garro
J. Lingard
Yuri Alberto
W. Aguerre
M. Gonzalez
F. Alvez
M. Lemos
D. Laxalt
E. Remedi
Jesus Trindade
L. Umpierrez
N. Fernandez
M. Arezo
G. Togni
Corinthians
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Hugo Souza
G
2
Matheuzinho
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
⚽ 11'
21
Matheus Bidu
D
49
Andre
M
↓ 60'
14
Raniele
M
7
Breno Bidon
M
↓ 80'
8
R. Garro
M
🎯 11'
↓ 80'
77
J. Lingard
M
⚽ 25'
↓ 88'
9
Yuri Alberto
F
🎯 25'
↓ 88'
Substitutes
51
Kaue
G
52
Z. Labyad
F
↑ 80'
5
Andre Ramalho
D
26
F. Angileri
D
23
M. Pereira
M
20
P. Milans
D
37
Kaio Cesar
F
↑ 60'
19
A. Carrillo
M
↑ 80'
11
Vitinho
F
↑ 88'
29
Allan
M
18
Pedro Raul
F
↑ 88'
61
Dieguinho
M
Penarol
4-3-3
Starting XI
29
W. Aguerre
G
25
M. Gonzalez
D
22
F. Alvez
D
🟨 68'
3
M. Lemos
D
93
D. Laxalt
D
5
E. Remedi
M
↓ 73'
21
Jesus Trindade
M
🟨 76'
32
L. Umpierrez
M
↓ 73'
8
N. Fernandez
F
19
M. Arezo
F
↓ 80'
23
G. Togni
F
↓ 57'
Substitutes
1
S. Britos
G
11
A. Hernandez
F
↑ 80'
27
Lucas Hernandez
D
9
F. Batista
F
77
L. Angulo
F
↑ 57'
80
F. Gonzalez
M
↑ 80'
30
S. Muhlethaler
M
↑ 73'
18
G. Barbas
36
B. Barboza
D
40
B. Alvarez
F
14
K. Rodriguez
D
↑ 73'
Last matches: Corinthians
30.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Gremio
3
1
W
28.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
22.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Botafogo
1
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Mirassol
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vitoria
0
0
D
16.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Palmeiras
0
0
D
10.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Internacional
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Fluminense
1
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Flamengo
1
1
D
20.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Santos
1
1
D
12.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Coritiba
0
2
L
25.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
Last matches: Penarol
07.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
1
0
W
01.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Central Espanol
0
1
L
28.05.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
22.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro Largo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Wanderers
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Juventud
2
2
D
17.04.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
10.04.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Progreso
2
0
W
29.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
25.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Albion FC
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Danubio
1
1
D
H2H: Corinthians vs Penarol
22.05.26
H2H
Penarol
Corinthians
1
1
D
01.05.26
H2H
Corinthians
Penarol
2
0
W
14.05.21
H2H
Penarol
Corinthians
4
0
L
29.04.21
H2H
Corinthians
Penarol
0
2
L
Last matches: Corinthians
28.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
3
2
W
26.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Palmeiras
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Internacional
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Flamengo
1
1
D
12.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Coritiba
0
2
L
12.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Corinthians
Bahia
1
2
L
H2H at home: Corinthians
01.05.26
H2H
Corinthians
Penarol
2
0
W
29.04.21
H2H
Corinthians
Penarol
0
2
L
Last matches: Penarol
07.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro Largo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Wanderers
0
1
L
10.04.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Progreso
2
0
W
25.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Albion FC
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Club Nacional
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Penarol
Central Espanol
1
2
L
30.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
1
L
16.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
09.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Atletico Torque
2
0
W
25.10.25
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
0
2
L
11.10.25
Pri
Penarol
Miramar
2
2
D
27.09.25
Pri
Penarol
Cerro Largo
3
1
W
13.09.25
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
2
D
31.08.25
Pri
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
4
1
W
15.08.25
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
1
2
L
H2H away: Penarol
01.05.26
H2H
Corinthians
Penarol
2
0
L
29.04.21
H2H
Corinthians
Penarol
0
2
W
Standings
Group E
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Corinthians
Home
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
| 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 4 |
Penarol
Away
|
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals