Corinthians
Match Timeline
Penarol
Corinthians vs Penarol Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
56.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
72.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Corinthians Win 35.9%
Draw 10.1%
Penarol Win 54%
Expected Goals (xG)
Corinthians0.95
Penarol1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Corinthians
WWDLW
13 GF / 11 GA
Penarol
WLDWL
21 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.87
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
5
BTTS Yes
9
2
Over 2.5
7
3.33
Shots on Goal
5.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Corinthians
15 matches
Penarol
15 matches
| Corinthians | Statistic | Penarol |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 5 |
| 13 | Goals For | 21 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 0.87 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 0.73 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.33 | Shots On Goal | 5.5 |
| 10.2 | Total Shots | 12.5 |
| 4.6 | Corners | 2.5 |
| 53% | Ball Possession | 48.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Corinthians won 1 times, Penarol won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from Corinthians's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Corinthians 4-2-3-1 / Penarol 4-3-3
H2H summary: Corinthians wins 1, draws 1, Penarol wins 2
Standings
Group E
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Corinthians
Home
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
| 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 4 |
Penarol
Away
|
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals